|

Forex Today: Boris on the brink of a Brexit deal, trade concerns reemerge, US Retail Sales eyed

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, October 16:

  • Brexit negotiations:  The UK and the EU seem close to a deal that includes an open border on the island of Ireland and a customs border in the Irish Sea. Some dub the accord as "Theresa May's deal with lipstick" – implying significant concessions from UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson. The Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP(has concerns while hardline Brexiteers seem to be on board. Talks in Brussels continue with Chief EU Negotiator Michel Barnier to brief diplomats on progress around 12:00 GMT. Late in the day, the PM will brief his Conservative Party. The aim is to declare a deal in the EU Summit on Thursday. GBP/USD has dropped from the highs near 1.28. More: Brexit: Five outcomes and GBP/USD reactions as a deal may become real
  • Hopes for an accord have impacted the market sentiment beyond the pound and the UK. The yen reached multi-month lows, EUR/USD advanced, and gold came under pressure.
  • Trade: China has demanded that the US remove US tariffs and say that otherwise, it cannot reach the target of buying $50 billion worth of agricultural goods. Moreover, the world's second-largest economy is unhappy with the intention of American lawmakers to support protesters in Hong Kong. USD/JPY that was carried higher amid Brexit hopes has retreated. 
  • US Retail Sales for September stand out on the economic calendar. Moderate increases in all measures are expected, confirming the strength of the American consumer. See US Retail Sales Preview: Stronger consumer sentiment may tilt consumption higher
  • UK Consumer Price Index is set to rise, final euro-zone CPI to be confirmed at low levels, and Canadian inflation to drop on a monthly level. Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, will participate at a panel discussion and will likely refrain talking about Brexit. Jens Weidmann, President of the German Bundesbank, may continue criticizing the decision to restart the European Central Bank's bond-buying scheme. 
  • The Federal Reserve publishes its Beige Book later today. Alongside speeches from several Fed officials, markets will try to gauge if the bank will cut rates later this month.
  • Cryptocurrencies have been consolidating losses suffered on Tuesday.
     

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD could test 1.1750 amid strengthening bullish bias

EUR/USD remains flat after two days of small losses, trading around 1.1740 during the Asian hours on Thursday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a strengthening of a bullish bias, as the pair continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3300s as traders await BoE and US CPI report

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.3310 area, or a one-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3370 region, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk and US consumer inflation data.

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.