|

Fitch: Low growth and higher public debt burden pressure Mexican credit profile

In its latest report, International ratings agency Fitch, revised the Mexico's foreign and local currency rating outlook to negative from stable in December 2016, while affirming its long-term ratings at 'BBB+'.

More headlines from the report:

  • Mexico's relatively weak economic growth and increased downside risks to its growth outlook and the challenges this could pose for public debt stabilization are driving Mexico's Negative Outloo
  • Mexico's five-year growth of 2.5% is weaker than the 'BBB' median of 3.1%, and this could continue in 2017-18 as investment takes a hit due to greater economic uncertainty
  • The ultimate extent of potential spill-overs from U.S. policies on Mexico will become clearer only when more details as to the scope and content of the changes to trade and immigration matters become available. 
  • A drop in foreign direct investment could make financing the current account deficit more dependent on portfolio flows and external borrowing.
  • A deterioration in Mexico's links with the U.S. that dampens its growth prospects and/or weakens its external balance sheet would be negative for the ratings.
  • On the other hand, improved growth performance and successful fiscal consolidation that improves the outlook for the public debt trajectory, as well as reduced risks of disruption to trade and financial flows to Mexico will help stabilize the Outlook. 

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.