|

Fed's Waller: This is the time to hit it with rate increases

Governor Christopher J. Waller is making comments and traders are looking for anything additional to his 'Reflections on Monetary Policy 2021' speech from last week that can give more clarity on the path ahead for 2022. 

Waller has been an advocate of rate hikes, but famously said, ''we are not in a Volcker kind of moment," as he highlighted the difference between inflation that had been building for six of seven years compared to a surge in recent inflation that only began last year. 

Key comments

Inflation is too high, my job is to get it down.

If we get some help from supply chain resolution, that's fantastic, but won't count on it.

Could put some downward pressure on labor markets.

Could pull back demand for labor and that would be a good thing.

 We are trying to get job market back to equilibrium; right now it's out of whack.

We think we can raise interest rates and not have a big impact on unemployment.

Don't need to tank economy to bring down inflation.

This is the time to hit it with rate increases, because the economy can take it.

Do it now, front load it.

Market implications

The US dollar was choppy on Tuesday, stuck below the 20-year highs made at the start of the week as yields start to consolidate while investors await tomorrow's April Consumer Price Index. The data could give further signs of inflation that may be starting to cool, following last Friday's wage inflation data. Expectations are calling for a 8.1% annual increase compared to the 8.5% rise recorded in March. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide toward 1.1800 on renewed USD strength

EUR/USD extends its daily slide and trades at a fresh weekly low below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls below 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure and falls toward 1.3500 on Tuesday. The UK employment data highlighted worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.