|

Fed's George: Current inflation surge not yet embedded in the economy

Kansas City Fed President Esther George said in an interview with the WSJ on Wednesday that the current surge in inflation is different from what former Fed Chair Paul Volcker (served between 1975-1979) faced and has not yet become embedded in the economy. the path to policy normalisation is likely to be a long one, George continued, adding that the Fed's neutral rate is likely around 2.5%, though much is in flux. 

The prospect of yield curve inversion should be considered in the Fed's balance sheet discussion, George continued, adding that the Fed's holdings should fall significantly, thus allowing long-term rates to climb. Yield curve inversions have implications for financial stability, she noted, and rolling off Fed assets could help steepen the curve. The policy rate will rise in a steady and deliberate manner, she added, before concluding that the US economy is performing well.

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.