Fed on course to begin lowering rates at the June FOMC meeting – ABN Amro

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The FOMC has kept rates on hold since its last rate hike in July. Economists at ABN Amro still expect the Fed to start cutting rates from June.

Upper bound of the FFR to reach 4.25% by end-2024, and 3% by mid-2025

We expect the Fed to start cutting rates in June, with the risk somewhat tilted to earlier cuts.

Even with rate cuts starting next year, monetary policy is expected to remain restrictive throughout 2024 and even into 2025.

We expect the upper bound of the fed funds rate to reach 4.25% by end-2024, and 3% by mid-2025.

The Fed also looks set to wind down its quantitative tightening somewhat sooner than previously expected, though this will be well-telegraphed and gradual.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD recovers above 1.1600 as focus shifts to US data

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound and trades in positive territory above 1.1600 in the European session on Wednesday. Improving risk sentiment makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its strength and helps the pair edge higher as focus shifts to key US data releases.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3350 on improving risk mood

GBP/USD gains traction and advances toward 1.3400 on Wednesday. Although there are no headlines pointing to a de-escalation in the Middle East conflict, the modest recovery seen in US stock index futures limit the USD's gains and help the pair hold its ground.

Gold rebounds toward $5,200 as USD retreats

Gold maintains its offered tone through European session on Wednesday and climbs to the $5,200 region. The downward correction seen in the US Dollar and the ongoing crsis in the Middle East seem to be allowing XAU/USD to preserve its recovery momentum.

ADP Employment Report set to signal stronger February jobs growth, little effect on Fed outlook

The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute will release its monthly report on private-sector job creation for February on Wednesday. The so-called ADP Employment Change report is expected to show that the United States private sector added 50K new positions in the month, following the 22K gained in January.

Asian stocks fall as South Korea’s KOSPI slumps over 10%

Asian equities drop on Middle East tensions; the MSCI Asia Pacific Index falls up to 4%. South Korea’s KOSPI fell 10.71% near 5,170, with the Korean Won weakened past 1,500 per dollar.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidation near resistance as ETF inflows offer mild support

Solana price is facing slight rejection as it approaches the upper boundary of the consolidation range at around $88 on Wednesday. Institutional demand is strengthening as spot Exchange Traded Funds recorded two consecutive inflows so far this week.