EUR/USD: will the Spain's political climate accelerate the euro's decline this week?


EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.1780 with  high of 1.1815 and a low of 1.1779

In a quiet start to the Asian week with holiday's in China and Australia, we are not seeing much price action in the FX space, but the euro has dipped again below the 1.18 handle after today's shocking events in Spain where the Catalan vote for a referendum was disrupted with violence by the National Police, instructed by the Spanish government that argues the vote was illegal. 

90% Of Catalans voted "Yes" To leave Spain – RTRS

Catalan holds 20% of Spains GDP and the outcome could be a catastrophic fundamental event for markets and equally, it could accelerate the euro's decline. The reaction so far has been relatively muted in the market but the political fall-out is surely a weight for the euro in the near and medium term and something that the ECB will be watching very closely. 

The week ahead: expect transitory weakness in September’s nonfarm payroll growth - Nomura

EUR/USD levels

Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet explained that the pair managed to correct half of its weekly losses, with the 50% retracement of the decline at 1.1825, converging with the mentioned lows. "In the 4 hours chart, the pair presents an upward potential yet to be confirmed, as the price recovered above a now flat 20 SMA, the RSI indicator holds directionless around its mid-line, and the Momentum indicator aims north near overbought levels."

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses

EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range below 1.1100 and remains on track to end the week in negative territory. Earlier in the day, monthly PCE inflation data from the US came in line with the market expectation, failing to trigger a reaction.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150

GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around 1.3150 on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the July PCE inflation data and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD News
Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend

Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend

Gold stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward $2,500 in the American session on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher toward 3.9% after US PCE inflation data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower.

Gold News
Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts. The weaker than expected July numbers triggered market turbulence, instilling fears about a potential recession in the US.

Read more
Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September

Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September Premium

Eurostat will publish the preliminary estimate of the August Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices on Friday, and the anticipated outcome will back up the case for another European Central Bank interest rate cut when policymakers meet in September.

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures