|

EUR/USD struggles around 1.0880s and tumbles below 1.0800

  • EUR/USD erases its earlier gains, despite registering a 9-month high around 1.0887.
  • Big Tech companies slashing 28K jobs, and weaker US economic data, sparked recession fears.
  • Fed officials support interest rate hikes until 5% or slightly above.

EUR/USD reversed its course after hitting a nine-month high around 1.0887 on Wednesday after US economic data could further cement the case for US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to slow down the pace of tightening. Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) found a bid and erased all of its losses at the time of writing. The EUR/USD exchanges hands at 1.0793, still above its opening price.

US big tech companies cutting jobs, and soft US economic data, weighed on the EUR

Wall Street edged lower as crossing newswires announced that Microsoft and Amazon are set to slash 28K jobs. Therefore, investors’ moods dampened, as earlier US economic data showed signs of deterioration in the US economy. Data released showed that inflation continued to ease, with December’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) sliding to 6.2% YoY, below estimates of 6.8%, while the core PPI advances by 5.5% YoY, beneath 5.7%  forecasts.

In the meantime, US Retail Sales plunged 1.1% MoM in December, below the downward revised November’s figures, which shrank by 1%. However, annually based were unchanged at 6%. Later, Industrial Production decreased by 0.7% MoM and 1.7% in Q4, as reported by the Federal Reserve.

Later, two Fed officials, namely St. Louis Fed President Bullard and Cleveland’s President Loretta Mester, said that the Federal Funds rate (FFR) needs to be at around 5%, at the minimum. Bullard commented that the central bank needs to get “as quickly as we can,” while Mester added that rates need to be above 5%, per her forecasts.

What to watch?

Thursday’s economic calendar in the Eurozone would feature the EU’s Current Account, ECB’s Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, and ECB’s Lagarde speech. Across the pond, the US docker will reveal housing data, the Philadelphia Fed Index, Initial Jobless Claims, and Fed speak.

EUR/USD Key Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0796
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.0794
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0678
Daily SMA501.0533
Daily SMA1001.0206
Daily SMA2001.031
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0869
Previous Daily Low1.0774
Previous Weekly High1.0868
Previous Weekly Low1.0639
Previous Monthly High1.0736
Previous Monthly Low1.0393
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0811
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0833
Daily Pivot Point S11.0756
Daily Pivot Point S21.0718
Daily Pivot Point S31.0661
Daily Pivot Point R11.0851
Daily Pivot Point R21.0908
Daily Pivot Point R31.0946

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses, flirts with the 1.1850 zone

EUR/USD is back on the back foot on Wednesday, slipping below the 1.1850 area as the US Dollar picks up some modest traction. The move comes as traders position ahead of a busy run of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Adding to the pullback are reports that the ECB’s Lagarde may step down before completing her term.

GBP/USD flirts with daily highs near 1.3580

GBP/USD manages to set aside two consecutive daily declines and trades with slight gains in the 1.3580 zone on Wednesday. Cable’s uptick comes despite acceptable gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold regains some shine, retargets $5,000 ahead of FOMC Minutes

Gold gathers fresh upside traction on Wednesday, leaving part of the weakness seen at the beginning of the week and refocusing its attention to the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce, all ahead of the release of the FOMC Minutes and despite the modest uptick in the US Dollar.

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.