- The pair moved lower and printed yearly lows near 1.1230.
- The greenback is now easing from YTD peaks post-data.
- Big miss in January US Industrial Production.
Volatility remains the name of the game so far at the end of the week, as EUR/USD has now advanced to the 1.1280/85 band after briefly recording fresh 2019 lows in the boundaries of 1.1230.
EUR/USD bid after US data
Risk-on sentiment remains well and sound in the second half of the week, although the sentiment around the single currency stays depressed amidst the ongoing rally in the buck, all following recent progress from the US-China trade talks.
After briefly recording fresh yearly lows in the 1.1235/30 band, spot met a wave of buying orders following the big miss in US Industrial Production, which contracted at a monthly 0.6% in January. Further data saw Capacity Utilization dropping to 78.2% and Manufacturing Production retreating 0.9% inter-month, all prints coming in below previous estimates.
On the brighter side, the regional manufacturing gauge measured by the Empire State index rose above estimates to 8.80 for the current month.
What to look for around EUR
The offered bias in the shared currency remains well and sound this week in spite of some progress made in the US-China trade talks and agreement to resume negotiations next week. The slowdown in the euro bloc keeps weighing on sentiment so far, adding to the ongoing speculations that the ECB could refrain from acting on rates this year and extend further, instead, the current ‘pause-mode’. In addition, political concerns remain well and sound in Euroland as we get closer to the EU parliamentary elections: snap elections in Spain on April 28, the still unresolved issue of the ‘yellow vests’ in France and the omnipresent effervescence in the Italian political scenario, all appear to be lending support to the idea of swelling populism in the Old Continent.
EUR/USD levels to watch
At the moment, the pair is losing 0.18% at 1.1273 and a break below 1.1234 (2019 low Feb.15) would target 1.1215 (2018 low Nov.12) en route to 1.1118 (monthly low Jun.20 2017). On the flip side, the next up barrier emerges at 1.1294 (100-hour SMA) seconded by 1.1332 (200-week SMA) and finally 1.1341 (high Feb.13).
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends slide below 1.0300, touches new two-year low
EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level since November 2022, below 1.0300 on Thursday. The US Dollar benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere and the upbeat Jobless Claims data, causing the pair to stretch lower.
GBP/USD slumps to multi-month lows below 1.2400 on broad USD strength
Following an earlier recovery attempt, GBP/USD reversed its direction and declined to its weakest level in nearly eight months below 1.2400. The renewed US Dollar (USD) strength on worsening risk mood weighs on the pair as trading conditions normalize after the New Year break.
Gold benefits from risk aversion, climbs above $2,650
Gold gathers recovery momentum and trades at a two-week-high above $2,650 in the American session on Thursday. The precious metal benefits from the sour market mood and the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields.
These 5 altcoins are rallying ahead of $16 billion FTX creditor payout
FTX begins creditor payouts on January 3, in agreement with BitGo and Kraken, per an official announcement. Bonk, Fantom, Jupiter, Raydium and Solana are rallying on Thursday, before FTX repayment begins.
Three Fundamentals: Year-end flows, Jobless Claims and ISM Manufacturing PMI stand out Premium
Money managers may adjust their portfolios ahead of the year-end. Weekly US Jobless Claims serve as the first meaningful release in 2025. The ISM Manufacturing PMI provides an initial indication ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.