- The EUR/USD is seeing a pullback from the day's highs as risk aversion takes a bite on Friday.
- The US Dollar is seeing a recovery heading into the Friday closing bell, bouncing from the day's lows.
- US PCE came in as-expected, investors to turn their eyes toward Fed's next rate call.
The EUR/USD slipped back into the 1.0570 region in Friday's midday, with the Euro falling just short of retaking the 1.0600 handle before the trading week closes out.
The US Dollar (USD) is catching an intraday bid to recover from Friday's lows, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) recovering to the day's opening prices.
The Core US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Index came in at expectations, with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred method of measuring inflation printing at 3.7% for the year into September, compared to August's print of 3.8%, which was revised down from 3.9%.
Coming up next week: EU GDP, HICP inflation, US Fed rate call
With the week's major data out of the way, investors will be looking ahead to next week which sees EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Tuesday, with another rate call from the Fed slated for Wednesday.
Wall Street is expecting European economic conditions to continue deteriorating, and EU GDP is forecast to decline to just 0.2% for the 3rd quarter, compared to 0.5% for 2Q, while EU HICP is expected to show pan-EU inflation dropping from 4.3% to 3.4% for the year into October.
Markets have broadly predicted the Fed to stand pat on interest rates next Wednesday, but traders will be keeping a close eye on the Fed's "dot plot" and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech scheduled for 30 minutes after the rate statement gets released.
Despite money markets' bets on a hold from the Fed, traders continue to remain nervous about a possible rate hike from the Fed at their December meeting as US economic figures continue to print too good for markets to bet on rate cuts coming sooner rather than later.
EUR/USD Technical Outlook
The EUR/USD has backed off Friday's highs just below the 1.0600 handle, and the pair is set to round out the week's trading down 1.2% from Tuesday's peak near 1.0695.
On the daily candlesticks, the Euro is seeing limited success staging a rebound from 2023's lows near 1.0450 set in early October, with swing highs from a near-term higher lows pattern running into technical resistance from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
EUR/USD Hourly Chart
EUR/USD Daily Chart
EUR/USD Technical Levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD dips below 1.1000 as Trump authorizes 90-day pause on tariffs
EUR/USD retreated below the 1.1000 mark on headlines indicating that United States President Donald Trump authorized a 90-day pause on non-retaliating countries. The pause applies to reciprocal and 10% tariffs, effective immediately, according to a Truth Social post. FOMC Minutes indicated increasing uncertainty.
GBP/USD eases further on tariffs pause announcement, USD still weak
GBP/USD's correction seems to have met a decent contention around the 1.2750 zone so far on Wednesday, as investors continue to assess the ongoing US-China trade war. US doubles the bet, announced 125% levies on Chinese imports.
Gold recedes to $3,050 on Trump's headlines
Gold prices now give away part of their advance and revisit the $3,050 zone per troy ounce after President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal and 10% tariffs. FOMC Minutes passed unnoticed as optimism returned.
Dow Jones Industrial Average rockets 6% higher on tariff suspension
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) skyrocketed on Wednesday, surging over 6% on the day and returning to the 40,000 handle after the Trump administration announced yet another pivot on its own tariff policies.
Tariff rollercoaster continues as China slapped with 104% levies
The reaction in currencies has not been as predictable. The clear winners so far remain the safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc, no surprises there, while the euro has also emerged as a quasi-safe-haven given its high liquid status.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.