|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: The crucial resistance level will emerge at the 1.0790–1.0800 region

  • EUR/USD weakens to 1.0775 on the firmer USD on Friday.
  • The pair keeps the bearish vibe below the key EMA on the daily timeframe. 
  • The key resistance level will emerge in the 1.0790–1.0800 zone; the first downside target is located at 1.0724.

The EUR/USD pair trades on a softer note near 1.0775 during the early European hours on Friday. The downtick of the major pair is supported by the renewed US Dollar (USD) demand amid hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Later on Friday, the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May will be released, which is projected to drop from 77.2 in April to 76.0 in May. 

According to the daily chart, EUR/USD has traded within a descending trend channel since mid-December 2023. The bearish outlook of the major pair remains intact, as it is below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands in bullish territory around 55, indicating that further upside cannot be ruled out. 

The key resistance level for EUR/USD will emerge at the 1.0790–1.0800 region, portraying the 100-day EMA and the upper boundary of the descending trend channel. The next upside barrier is seen near a high of April 9 at 1.0885. The additional upside filter to watch is a high of March 21 at 1.0943, followed by March 8 at 1.0981, and finally the 1.1000 psychological level.  

On the downside, the first downside target is located near a low of May 9 at 1.0724. Extended losses for EUR/USD expose the pair to a low of May 2 at 1.0650, en route to a low of April 16 at 1.0600. A break below this level will see a drop to the lower limit of the descending trend channel at 1.0500.  

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0774
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.0782
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0699
Daily SMA501.079
Daily SMA1001.0833
Daily SMA2001.0794
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0784
Previous Daily Low1.0724
Previous Weekly High1.0812
Previous Weekly Low1.065
Previous Monthly High1.0885
Previous Monthly Low1.0601
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0761
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0747
Daily Pivot Point S11.0742
Daily Pivot Point S21.0703
Daily Pivot Point S31.0682
Daily Pivot Point R11.0803
Daily Pivot Point R21.0824
Daily Pivot Point R31.0864

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.