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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Stumbled to two-month low around 1.0700

  • EUR/USD dips to 1.0707 amidst soaring US Treasury bond yields, but mixed market sentiment prevents a steeper fall.
  • The pair could witness further losses if sellers successfully reclaim the 1.0700 mark, shifting the bias downward.
  • Staying above 1.0700 could lead to a EUR/USD comeback, with 1.0900 in sight if key resistance levels are broken.

EUR/USD hit a new two-month low at around 1.0707, though it remains neutral to downward biased unless the pair suffers more weakness, which could send the EUR/USD sinking below the 1.0700 mark toward the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0684. Nevertheless, a mixed market sentiment capped the Euro{s (EUR) fall, even though US Treasury bond yields skyrocketed, underpinning the US Dollar (USD). As the Asian session begins, the EUR/USD trades at 1.0727, up 0.02%.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Two days ago, the EUR/USD slumped below the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0776, with sellers taking advantage of it, as the EUR/USD registered three straight sessions of losses. Although the pair will likely print additional losses, sellers must reclaim the 1.0700. That would leave the pair exposed, and once the EUR/USD dives below the 200-day EMA, that would shift the pair bias downwards.

That said, the EUR/USD first support would be the 2020 yearly low of 1.0636, ahead of falling to 1.0600. Break below will expose the March 15 daily low of 1.0516 before dropping to the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.0482.

Conversely, if EUR/USD stays afloat above 1.0700, the EUR/USD  could stage a comeback, initially to the 100-day EMA at 1.0776. A breach of the letter will expose 1.0800 before the EUR/USD threatens the confluence of technical indicators, like the 50 and 20-day EMAs, at around 1.0845-1.0857. Once the intersection gives way, 1.0900 is on the cards.

EUR/USD Price Action – Daily chart

EUR/USD Daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0725
Today Daily Change-0.0025
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1.075
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0916
Daily SMA501.09
Daily SMA1001.0813
Daily SMA2001.0476
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0801
Previous Daily Low1.0748
Previous Weekly High1.0904
Previous Weekly Low1.076
Previous Monthly High1.1095
Previous Monthly Low1.0788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0769
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0781
Daily Pivot Point S11.0731
Daily Pivot Point S21.0713
Daily Pivot Point S31.0678
Daily Pivot Point R11.0784
Daily Pivot Point R21.0819
Daily Pivot Point R31.0837

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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