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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears flirt with golden Fibonacci ratio, focus on 1.0765-60

  • EUR/USD stays defensive after reversing from seven-week high, as well as snapping five-day uptrend.
  • Break of weekly support line, downbeat oscillators favor sellers even if 61.8% Fibonacci retracement prods immediate declines.
  • Recovery moves need validation from 1.0935 to aim for fresh 2023 high.

EUR/USD seesaws around 1.0830-20 as the key Fibonacci retracement level probes bears during early Friday, following the Euro pair’s U-turn from a seven-week high the previous day.

EUR/USD marked the first daily loss in six on Thursday as it failed to cross the two-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.0930-35. The following pullback also broke an upward-sloping support line from Monday and allowed intraday sellers to tighten the grip.

It should be noted that the RSI’s U-turn from the overbought territory breaks short-term support and the MACD also teases bears, which in turn suggests the EUR/USD pair’s further downside even if the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-March fall prods sellers of late.

That said, an upward-sloping support line from March 15 joins the mid-month high to keep the EUR/USD bear’s focus on the 1.0765-60 support zone.

If the pair manages to break the same, it could quickly drop to a convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, around 1.0670-65.

Alternatively, the EUR/USD pair’s recovery moves may initially aim for the support-turned-resistance line stretched from Monday, near 1.0885 at the latest.

However, bulls should remain cautious unless witnessing a clear break of 1.0935. Following that, a run-up towards refreshing the yearly high, around 1.1035 at the latest, can’t be ruled out.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0832
Today Daily Change-0.0024
Today Daily Change %-0.22%
Today daily open1.0856
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0644
Daily SMA501.0731
Daily SMA1001.0597
Daily SMA2001.0331
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0912
Previous Daily Low1.0759
Previous Weekly High1.076
Previous Weekly Low1.0516
Previous Monthly High1.1033
Previous Monthly Low1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0854
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0818
Daily Pivot Point S11.0772
Daily Pivot Point S21.0689
Daily Pivot Point S31.0619
Daily Pivot Point R11.0926
Daily Pivot Point R21.0996
Daily Pivot Point R31.1079

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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