EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears appear well-set to prod 1.0730 support as NFP week begins


  • EUR/USD extends pullback from 10-week-old horizontal resistance, renews intraday low of late.
  • Downside break of 13-day-old support line, easing bullish bias of MACD signals add strength to bearish view.
  • Convergence of 50-DMA, 21-DMA joins RSI (14) retreat to challenge EUR/USD bears.
  • Receding hawkish hopes from Fed, recently mixed US data prod Euro pair sellers.

EUR/USD takes offers to renew intraday low around 1.0790 as it extends the previous U-turn from a short-term key hurdle during early Monday. Adding strength to the downside bias is the clear break of a two-week-old support line, now resistance, as well as the receding bullish bias of the MACD. It should be observed that the RSI (14) line retreats towards the 50 level, which in turn suggests further grinding towards the south.

Hence, the EUR/USD price is well-set to test the 1.0730 support confluence including the 50-DMA and 21-DMA as traders begin the key week.

Also read: EUR/USD sellers attack 1.0800 as risk aversion joins consolidation ahead of US PMI, NFP

In a case where the Euro pair remains weaker past 1.0730, the 1.0700 threshold may act as an intermediate halt before directing the major currency pair towards the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0520-15.

On the flip side, the support-turned-resistance line and the aforementioned horizontal resistance area, respectively near 1.0880 and 1.0930, challenge the EUR/USD pair buyers.

Following that, the 1.1000 psychological magnet may act as an intermediate halt before directing the Euro bulls towards the February 2023 high of around 1.1035.

Overall, EUR/USD is likely to decline further but the downside room below 1.0730 appears limited.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.0791
Today Daily Change -0.0049
Today Daily Change % -0.45%
Today daily open 1.084
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0724
Daily SMA50 1.0732
Daily SMA100 1.0651
Daily SMA200 1.0342
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0926
Previous Daily Low 1.0837
Previous Weekly High 1.0926
Previous Weekly Low 1.0745
Previous Monthly High 1.093
Previous Monthly Low 1.0516
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0871
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0892
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0809
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0779
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.072
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0898
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0956
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0987

 

 

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