|

EUR/USD Price Analysis:100-day average again caps upside

  • EUR/USD again faces rejection around the 100-day average hurdle. 
  • The immediate bias remains bullish with the pair holding above 1.0896.

EUR/USD is trading near 1.0930 at press time, having failed to keep gains above the 100-day average at 1.0968 on Tuesday. 

The widely-tracked technical line was last put to test on May 1. On that day, buyers failed to absorb the selling pressure above the long-term average and the rejection proved costly. In the following four days, the spot reversed a major portion of the 1.0727 to 1.10 seen in the six trading days to May 1. 

The latest rejection has so far failed to invite stronger selling pressure, leaving the pair mildly bid above the former resistance-turned-support at 1.0896 (May 13 high). That, alongside the bullish or above-50 reading on the 14-day relative strength index, suggests scop for a re-test of the average hurdle. A close higher could cause more buyers to join the market, leading to stronger gains, possibly to levels above the 200-day average at 1.1014. 

However, if the pair drops below 1.0896, the buyer exhaustion signaled by Tuesday's candle with long upper wick would gain credence. In that case, stronger selling pressure may emerge, pushing the spot back to 1.08. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

    1. R3 1.1039
    2. R2 1.1008
    3. R1 1.0966
  1. PP 1.0934
    1. S1 1.0892
    2. S2 1.086
    3. S3 1.0818

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold retains bullish bias ahead of this week’s key US macro releases

Gold attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs to the $4,330 region during the Asian session on Monday. The commodity remains well within striking distance of its highest level since October 21, touched on Friday, and seems poised to appreciate further amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash, SPX6900, and Pudgy Penguins, are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.