|

EUR/USD looks well contained in a 1.0450-0530 range – ING

Despite all the geopolitical noise, EUR/USD has not strayed too far from short-term rate differentials, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.

EUR/USD correction above 1.05 not to hold for long

"These have moved in favour of the euro this month as fears over a slowdown in US consumption have prompted the pricing of a slightly more dovish Fed profile. Where EUR/USD goes from here will largely be determined by how the Fed and ECB cycles get re-priced, and whether the EU tariff threat is real. Our baseline view is that tariffs will go into place in April and that any EUR/USD correction above 1.05 does not hold for long."

"EUR/USD looks well contained in a 1.0450-0530 range. Look out for month-end flows, however, particularly around the 17CET WMR fix. The substantial outperformance of eurozone equities this month (Eurostoxx +6%, S&P 500 -1%) could lead to some EUR/USD selling as the buy-side rebalances portfolios to desired weights."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.