EUR/USD looks to drop near 1.0850 on Ukraine crisis, hawkish ECB minutes


  • EUR/USD is eyeing more downside as DXY strengths on discussions of restoration to neutral rates.
  • The shared currency has failed to capitalize on hawkish ECB minutes and decent Retail Sales.
  • Members of the UN Human Rights Council voted in favor of ceasing Russia as an associate.

The EUR/USD pair has displayed a six-day losing streak and is likely to extend losses on Friday amid expectations of escalation in the Ukraine crisis after Russia ceases to be a member of the United Nations (UN) Human Rights Council. The members of the UN Human Rights Council voted in favor of stripping Russia from the members' list after the Russian rebels committed war crimes in Bucha, Ukraine. As world nations are isolating Russia from major communities, Russian leader Vladimir Putin could de-escalate progress talks with Ukraine, and the Ukraine crisis may continue to elevate further.

Meanwhile, the hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) minutes of March’s monetary policy meeting have failed to cushion the shared currency. Most of the ECB policymakers have favored immediate action through monetary policy to corner the galloping inflation.  Apart from that, the ECB should halt the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) as the stated objective behind its launch has been achieved.

Along with the hawkish ECB minutes, the shared currency has also failed to capitalize upon the outperformance of the Euro Retail Sales. The Eurostat reported Retail Sales at 5%, higher than the preliminary estimate of 4.8% but significantly lower than the previous print of 8.4%.

On the dollar front, the US dollar index (DXY) is eyeing a trigger, which will drive the asset towards the much-awaited resistance of the 100.00 figure. Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have started favoring the restoration of policy rates to neutral amid rising inflation and an objective of self-dependent economy.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0873
Today Daily Change -0.0021
Today Daily Change % -0.19
Today daily open 1.0894
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1005
Daily SMA50 1.1152
Daily SMA100 1.1233
Daily SMA200 1.1471
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0938
Previous Daily Low 1.0874
Previous Weekly High 1.1185
Previous Weekly Low 1.0945
Previous Monthly High 1.1233
Previous Monthly Low 1.0806
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0899
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0914
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0866
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0838
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0802
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.093
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0966
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0994

 

 

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