EUR/USD locked in a tight range and ready to explode, more likely to the downside – Confluence Detector


EUR/USD has been on the back foot following a risk-off mood stemming from worsening relations between the US and China. Where next? Technicals are pointing to strong support and resistance lines in the immediate vicinity of the current price. Once the currency pair picks a direction, it may move quickly. To which direction? Resistance looks more robust than support.

The Technical Confluences Indicator is showing that EUR/USD faces fierce resistance at 1.0972, which is a dense cluster of lines including the Bollinger Band 15-minutes-Upper, the Simple Moving Average 5-one-day, the SMA 10-4h, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Fibonacci 23.6% onwe-week, the SMA 200-15m, the Bollinger Band 4h-Middle, and the all-important Fibonacci 61.8% one-day.

If it breaks higher, it has room to run, targeting 1.1028, which is the convergence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1, and the PP one-day R2. 

Significant support awaits at 1.0954, which is the confluence of the SMA 10-1d, the SMA 50-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, and more.

If it loses that level, the next cushion is only at 1.0886, where we see the previous monthly low, the previous weekly low, and the PP one-day S3 meeting up. 

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD confluence analysis October 9  2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD clings to recovery gains near 0.6550 on weaker USD, upbeat mood

AUD/USD clings to recovery gains near 0.6550 on weaker USD, upbeat mood

AUD/USD holds sizeable gains near 0.6550 in the Asian session on Monday. A sharp pullback in the US bond yields prompts some US Dollar profit-taking after US President-elect Trump named Scott Bessent as Treasury Chief. Moreover, the upbeat market mood supports the risk-sensitive Aussie. 

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY tumbles over one-big figure toward 153.50

USD/JPY tumbles over one-big figure toward 153.50

USD/JPY slides back closer to 153.50 in the Asian session on Monday. Retreating US Treasury bond yields drags the US Dollar away from a two-year top high and drives flows towards the lower-yielding Japanese Yen, though the BoJ uncertainty could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY News
Gold price corrects to near $2,700 on sliding US yields, US Dollar

Gold price corrects to near $2,700 on sliding US yields, US Dollar

Gold price correcxts sharply to $2,700 from a near two-week highs of $2,721 early Monday. The US Dollar pulls back from a two-year high alongside retreating US bond yields and benefits the commodity while a positive risk tone amid a likely ceasefire between Israel and Lebonan also dents the safe-haven metal. 

Gold News
Elections, inflation, and the bond market

Elections, inflation, and the bond market

The Federal Reserve believes inflation is no longer a concern for consumers and the time has come to ensure the rate of change of prices does not decline any further.
Read more
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures