- EUR/USD steadies at five-week low after posting the biggest weekly loss since September 2022.
- Hawkish ECB speak, softer US data fail to impress Euro buyers as US debt ceiling, banking woes underpin US Dollar demand.
- EU Economic Projections, Final readings of inflation and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index eyed for intraday moves.
- US President Joe Biden hints at Tuesday’s debt ceiling talk, Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Friday eyed too.
EUR/USD seesaws around 1.0850 after losing heavily again the US Dollar in the last week, posting the biggest weekly fall in 8.5 months. In doing so, the Euro pair fails to cheer hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) Officials’ comments, as well as softer US data, amid the greenback’s haven demand, mainly due to the US debt ceiling deadlock.
Recently US President Joe Biden signaled that Friday’s delayed talks will be held on Tuesday, which in turn might have allowed the EUR/USD bears to take a breather. However, the policymakers are still at loggerheads and hence a positive outcome isn’t widely expected, which in turn keeps the Euro pair on the bear’s table.
On Friday, the preliminary readings of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for May dropped to 57.7 from 63.5 prior versus 63.0 market forecasts. More interestingly, the one-year inflation expectations dropped from 4.6% to 4.5% for the said month but 5-year counterpart rose to the highest reading since 2011, from 3.0% to 3.2%.
On the other hand, “The latest interest rate hike won't be the last as it needs to ensure the current wave of inflation comes to an end,” said European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bundesbank Chief Joachim Nagel on Friday while speaking on the sidelines of a Group of Seven (G7) meeting in Japan.
During the weekend, multiple Federal Reserve (Fed) and ECB policymakers spoke on the sidelined of the G7 and the majority of them seem to defend the hawkish play despite suggesting no major rate hike signals.
It’s worth noting that Friday’s postponement of the US policymakers’ meeting on the debt ceiling joined downbeat US data to propel the risk-off mood and propelled the US Dollar. With this, Wall Street closed with losses and the US Treasury bond yields managed to remain firmer, which in turn favored the US Dollar Index (DXY) bulls.
Moving on, the European Commission’s (EC) quarterly economic projections and final readings of April’s Eurozone inflation data, as well as the US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for May, will be eyed for immediate directions. However, major attention will be given to the US debt ceiling updates for clear directions. Also important will be the Fed talks ahead of US Retail Sales and a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
Technical analysis
A daily closing below 1.0880 support confluence comprising an 8.5-month-old ascending support line and 50-DMA, now immediate resistance keeps EUR/USD bears hopeful.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains near 1.0300 after US PMI data
EUR/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.0300 on Friday. The pair breathes a sigh of relief as the US Dollar rally stalls, even as markets stay cautious amid geopolitical risks and Trump's tariff plans. US ISM PMI improved to 49.3 in December, beating expectations.
GBP/USD holds around 1.2400 as the mood improves
GBP/USD preserves its recovery momentum and trades around 1.2400 in the American session on Friday. A broad pullback in the US Dollar allows the pair to find some respite after losing over 1% on Thursday. A better mood limits US Dollar gains.
Gold retreats below $2,650 in quiet end to the week
Gold shed some ground on Friday after rising more than 1% on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield trimmed pre-opening losses and stands at around 4.57%, undermining demand for the bright metal. Market players await next week's first-tier data.
Stellar bulls aim for double-digit rally ahead
Stellar extends its gains, trading above $0.45 on Friday after rallying more than 32% this week. On-chain data indicates further rally as XLM’s Open Interest and Total Value Locked rise. Additionally, the technical outlook suggests a rally continuation projection of further 40% gains.
Week ahead – US NFP to test the markets, Eurozone CPI data also in focus
King Dollar flexes its muscles ahead of Friday’s NFP. Eurozone flash CPI numbers awaited as euro bleeds. Canada’s jobs data to impact bets of a January BoC cut. Australia’s CPI and Japan’s wages also on tap.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.