EUR/USD juggles above 0.9900, downside looks likely on German energy crisis


  • EUR/USD is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.9906-0.9935 after a gap down open ahead of ECB policy.
  • Gazprom's promise of energy supply is insufficient to offset energy supply cut from Nord Stream 1 pipeline.
  • The DXY has refreshed its two-decade high at 110.09 on upbeats US NFP data.

The asset is witnessed a steep fall continuously after the release of the eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The preferred inflation indicator by the European Central Bank (ECB) landed at 9.1% led by the soaring energy crisis in the eurozone. The escalation of unscheduled maintenance of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline under the Baltic Sea due to leakage issues triggered an energy crisis. To offset the same, Russian energy giant, Gazprom said it will increase its shipments of gas to Europe via Ukraine, according to Politico.

Well, this doesn’t seem to be a permanent solution for energy supplies. Adding to that, the gas supplies en-routing through Ukraine could be troublesome as things are still complicated between Moscow and Kyiv.

Apart from that, the event of an interest rate decision by the ECB scheduled on Thursday has kept the investors on the tenterhooks. The ECB has remained laggard in hiking interest rates and is now forced to sound extremely hawkish to cool down the heated inflation. ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to announce an interest rate hike by 50 basis points (bps) escalating the critical rates to 1%.

 As US markets will remain closed on account of Labor Day, risk sentiment is going to drive the FX domain. Investors should be noted that the US dollar index (DXY) has refreshed its two-decade high at 110.09. The release of the upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data strengthened the DXY. This will support the Federal Reserve (Fed) while handling the tedious job of slowing down inflationary pressures.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.9914
Today Daily Change -0.0039
Today Daily Change % -0.39
Today daily open 0.9953
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0086
Daily SMA50 1.0172
Daily SMA100 1.0388
Daily SMA200 1.0796
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0034
Previous Daily Low 0.9943
Previous Weekly High 1.0079
Previous Weekly Low 0.9911
Previous Monthly High 1.0369
Previous Monthly Low 0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9999
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9978
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9919
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9886
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9828
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.001
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0067
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0101

 

 

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