|

EUR/USD holds below 1.0560 after ADP and Treasury refunding

  • ADP: US private payrolls rose by 113,000 in October, up from 89,000 in September.
  • US Yields drop after Treasury refunding announcement; 10-year slides to 4.83%.
  • EUR/USD consolidates around 1.0550 amid a mixed US Dollar ahead of the FOMC decision.

The EUR/USD pair reached a bottom at 1.0540, the lowest level in three days, and bounced to 1.0557 following the release of the ADP employment report and the Treasury refunding announcement. Currently, the pair is hovering around 1.0550, holding onto daily losses as markets await the FOMC decision.

The ADP employment report showed an increase in private payrolls of 113,000 in October, below the market consensus of 150,000 but above the unrevised figure of 89,000 recorded in September. The report did not trigger significant market actions. More US data is due on Wednesday, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 GMT.

The US Treasury Department has released its plan for debt auctions, which includes gradually increasing the size of most auctions from November 2023 to January 2024. Treasury yields declined after the announcement, putting pressure on the US Dollar, particularly against commodity currencies.

The US Dollar Index is still up by 0.10%, primarily due to the decline in EUR/USD. The Euro is underperforming on Wednesday, also falling against the Pound, Swiss Franc, and Yen.

Later in the day, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its decision on monetary policy. No change in interest rates is expected. Following the statement at 18:00 GMT, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference.

US Interest Rate Decision Preview: Federal Reserve expected to stand pat for second consecutive meeting

Levels to watch

Below the daily lows, the next support for EUR/USD emerges at 1.0520, last week's low, followed by 1.0493 (Oct 13 low). The short-term bias is currently tilted to the downside. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0565. For a reversal of the negative bias, the Euro would need to rise above the 1.0590 area, surpassing key Simple Moving Averages (SMA) on the 4-hour chart.

EUR/USD 4-hour 

Technical levels 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0539
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.0576
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0573
Daily SMA501.0649
Daily SMA1001.0815
Daily SMA2001.0811
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0675
Previous Daily Low1.0558
Previous Weekly High1.0695
Previous Weekly Low1.0522
Previous Monthly High1.0695
Previous Monthly Low1.0448
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0602
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.063
Daily Pivot Point S11.053
Daily Pivot Point S21.0486
Daily Pivot Point S31.0413
Daily Pivot Point R11.0648
Daily Pivot Point R21.072
Daily Pivot Point R31.0765

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.