With investors looking past the latest political turmoil in Spain, the EUR/USD pair was seen building on overnight tepid recovery move from 7-week lows. A modest US Dollar retracement, primarily led by some profit taking amid absent top tier economic releases, helped the pair to gain some positive traction. However, growing market expectations that the Fed would deliver a third rate hike in December, coupled with hopes for US tax reform continued supporting the greenback and might keep a lid on any sharp near-term up-move.
Investors now look forward to the ADP report on the US private sector employment, which is considered as a precursor for Friday's official jobs report and should provide some fresh impetus. Later during the day, key speeches by the ECB President Mario Draghi and the Fed Chair Janet Yellen might trigger a fresh bout of volatility ahead of this week's key event risk - NFP.
From a technical perspective, the pair has already confirmed a bearish break below 50-day SMA and with short-term indicators holding in negative territory, the pair remains poised to extend its near-term corrective slide. Hence, any additional recovery move now seems to confront fresh supply near the 1.1800 handle and even if the pair managed to clear this immediate hurdle, further up-move should remain capped at 50-day SMA, support break now turned resistance, near the 1.1845 region.
On the flip side, 1.1725 level is likely to protect immediate downside, which if broken would reinforce the bearish bias and should drag the pair below the 1.1700 handle towards testing its immediate strong support near 1.1680-75 zone, marking 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.0341-1.2092 YTD up-swing. A follow through selling pressure is likely to open room for additional downslide initially towards the 1.1600 mark and eventually towards 1.1555-50 horizontal support.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses
EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range below 1.1100 and remains on track to end the week in negative territory. Earlier in the day, monthly PCE inflation data from the US came in line with the market expectation, failing to trigger a reaction.
GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150
GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around 1.3150 on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the July PCE inflation data and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound heading into the weekend.
Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend
Gold stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward $2,500 in the American session on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher toward 3.9% after US PCE inflation data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower.
Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation
Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts. The weaker than expected July numbers triggered market turbulence, instilling fears about a potential recession in the US.
Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September Premium
Eurostat will publish the preliminary estimate of the August Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices on Friday, and the anticipated outcome will back up the case for another European Central Bank interest rate cut when policymakers meet in September.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.