|

EUR/USD fighting back from 1.23 ahead of EU PMIs for Tuesday

  • The Euro reclaims the 1.2300 handle against the USD following Monday's risk flight, but further upside remains tightly contested.
  • EU Markit PMIs could inspire traders in either direction early in the European session.

The EUR/USD is recovering from Monday's selloff in the US session where it hit a bottom at 1.2282, and the pair is currently trading back above the 1.2300 handle ahead of the European markets.

Monday was a thin affair volume-wise with the European markets dark for the extended Easter Monday holiday, and the US session responded to China's retaliatory tariffs with a risk flight that took the top off of most risk assets including the EUR/USD. Markets have recovered and the European session will be opening into NFP week with a range of Markit PMIs to look forward to.

Europe sees an array of macro data early in Tuesday's action, kicking off with German Retail Sales at 06:00 GMT, and the month-on-month figure is expected at 0.8 percent, a noted upswing from the previous period's -0.7 percent contraction. After that is Markit Manufacturing PMIs for Spain, Italy, France, and Germany from 07:15 GMT to 07:55 GMT, with the Eurozone Markit PMI dropping at 08:00 GMT, which is expected at 56.6 for March, an identical reading to February's report.

On the US side the FOMC's members Kashkari and Brainard will be speaking at separate events, with Kashkari speaking at 13:30 GMT and Brainard at 20:30, where traders will be hoping for some talk of monetary policy to gauge how hawkish members of the Fed are.

EUR/USD Levels to consider

The EUR/USD is struggling to find bullish momentum, and as FXStreet's own Pablo Piovano noted, "a break above 1.2477 (high Mar.27) would target 1.2537 (high Jan.25) en route to 1.2557 (2018 high Feb.16). On the other hand, immediate contention emerges at 1.2282 (low Mar.29) followed by 1.2241 (low Mar.21) and finally 1.2206 (low Feb.9)."

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD regains balance, targets 1.1800

EUR/USD has lost a bit of momentum after its earlier push higher and is now attempting to reclaim the key 1.1800 barrier on Monday. In the meantime, investors remain focused on the evolving US–EU trade relationship after President Trump’s announcement of sweeping global tariff hikes.

GBP/USD recedes from tops, back to 1.3500

GBP/USD is extending its move higher on Monday, meeting some resistance around 1.3530 on the back of the widespread bearish tone in the US Dollar amid ongoing uncertainty around tariffs. For now, traders are watching overall risk sentiment and central bank rhetoric for the next directional cue.

Gold advances to four-week highs, focus is on $5,200

Gold is holding onto its bullish tone on Monday, hovering near monthly highs well above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Fresh trade-war concerns, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, are keeping demand for the yellow metal well on the rise.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP intensify sell-off as tariff uncertainty weighs

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are trading amid increasing selling pressure at the time of writing on Monday, as investors react to fresh trade uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s push for more tariffs.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.