|

EUR/USD eyes to regain 0.9800 amid fresh challenge to risk-of mood, yields, central bank in focus

  • EUR/USD consolidates the biggest daily loss in a fortnight, picks up bids of late.
  • Headlines from China, a pause in the yields’ run-up near multi-year high triggered latest rebound.
  • Buyers remain unconvinced as fears of recession, aggressive central bank actions stay on the table.

EUR/USD renews its intraday high around 0.9790 amid the fresh decline in the US dollar heading into Thursday’s European session. In doing so, the quote pares the previous day’s losses, the biggest in two weeks, amid an absence of major data/events.

China’s debate on reducing quarantine time for international travelers seemed to have triggered the US dollar’s latest weakness amid a likely sluggish session. With this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses the Asian session gains and prints 0.12% loss on the day as it refreshes intraday low to 112.77 at the latest.

Even so, the S&P 500 Futures print mild losses while staying around 3,700 by the press time.

Previously, US 10-year Treasury yields refreshed a 14-year high above 4.0%, around 4.15% by the press time while its two-year counterpart stays strong near the highest level since 2007, up 0.30% intraday near 4.57% at the latest.

It should be noted that the fears of higher inflation and the resulted aggressive rate hikes from the major central banks that previously propelled the US Treasury yields and the US dollar.

Moving on, a light calendar and a sudden shift in the risk profit could probe the EUR/USD from declining further. However, the recovery remains doubtful unless the yields start deteriorating and the DXY also ease, which is less expected.

Technical analysis

Unless staying below the weekly support line, now resistance around 0.9830, EUR/USD stays directed towards an upward-sloping trend line support from September 28, close to 0.9675 at the latest.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9788
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.16%
Today daily open0.9772
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9769
Daily SMA500.9924
Daily SMA1001.0135
Daily SMA2001.0555
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9872
Previous Daily Low0.9757
Previous Weekly High0.9809
Previous Weekly Low0.9632
Previous Monthly High1.0198
Previous Monthly Low0.9536
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9801
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9829
Daily Pivot Point S10.9729
Daily Pivot Point S20.9686
Daily Pivot Point S30.9614
Daily Pivot Point R10.9844
Daily Pivot Point R20.9916
Daily Pivot Point R30.9959

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.