|

EUR/USD: Euro at downward sloping trend resistance


The EUR/USD recovered from Catalan pro-independence push lower on Friday and managed to gain further after four days of Christmas vacations on Wednesday.

Although the EUR/USD has recovered from lows of $1.1815, the push higher is blocked by downward sloping trendline resistance level near $1.1900.

Currency markets are seen range-bound during three working days separating Christmas vacations from New Year’s Eve with no major economic data releases expected this week.

The US pending home sales and the Conference Board consumer confidence represent major data releases for Wednesday with limited market impact.

While the EUR/USD is limited by a downward sloping trend resistance on the upside, further gains are also limited by the Fast Stochastics moving into the Overbought territory luring sellers instead.

On the lower side, 100-day moving average at $1.1800 is the first hurdle to overcome with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $1.1730 being the next level.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Mario Blascak, PhD

Mario Blascak, PhD

Independent Analyst

Dr. Mário Blaščák worked in professional finance and banking for 15 years before moving to journalism. While working for Austrian and German banks, he specialized in covering markets and macroeconomics.

More from Mario Blascak, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.