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EUR/USD dips below 1.0600 on mixed EU data, ahead of Fed’s decision

  • EUR/USD retreats from a weekly high of 1.0675, currently trading below 1.0600.
  • Mixed economic data from the Eurozone, with inflation dropping to 2.9% in October but GDP contracting by 0.1% in Q3.
  • ECB officials keep the door open for additional tightening, with Joachim Nagel emphasizing the need for high rates for a prolonged period.

EUR/USD retreats from a weekly high at 1.0675 reached during the European session and dives below the 1.0600 figure courtesy of mixed economic data from the Eurozone (EU) and overall US Dollar (USD) strength. At the time of writing, is trading at 1.0580, down 0.31%.

Euro loses ground against the US Dollar amid mixed economic signals from the Eurozone

With Wall Street printing gains, risk appetite has improved throughout the North American session. Consumer Confidence deteriorated in the United States (US), as the Conference Board (CB) revealed. Figures came at 102.6, from 104.3 in September, above estimates of 100.5. At the same time, the US Department of Labor reported that employment costs are rising. Employment Cost Index rose 1.1%, above forecasts of 1%.

On Wednesday, the economic docket would feature the ADP Employment Change report and S&P Global and ISM PMIs ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision. The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, but it will most likely keep another rate hike increase on the table.

In October, Eurozone inflation dropped below the 3% threshold, coming in at 2.9%, which is lower than the expected 3.1% and a significant decrease from the 4.3% recorded in September. This data supports the European Central Bank's decision to keep rates on hold last week. As a result, money market futures are now estimating that the first-rate cut may occur in the first half of 2024.

Despite the positive inflation figures, the Eurozone's GDP for the third quarter was disappointing, coming in at -0.1%, which missed the forecast of 0% growth. Despite this, some European Central Bank (ECB) officials have kept the door open for additional tightening. Joachim Nagel from the Bundesbank stated, "Our tight monetary policy is working, but we must not let up too soon." He emphasized the need to maintain sufficiently high-interest rates for an extended period.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0578
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.0615
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0568
Daily SMA501.0654
Daily SMA1001.0817
Daily SMA2001.0812
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0625
Previous Daily Low1.0547
Previous Weekly High1.0695
Previous Weekly Low1.0522
Previous Monthly High1.0882
Previous Monthly Low1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0595
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0577
Daily Pivot Point S11.0567
Daily Pivot Point S21.0518
Daily Pivot Point S31.0489
Daily Pivot Point R11.0644
Daily Pivot Point R21.0674
Daily Pivot Point R31.0722

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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