EUR/USD declines to near 1.0870 as ECB Villeroy see rate-cut expectations as appropriate


  • EUR/USD slumps to near 1.0870 amid multiple headwinds.
  • ECB Villeroy sees prospects of two more rate cuts this year as appropriate.
  • The US Dollar recovers amid speculation that Donald Trump will win the US presidential elections.

The EUR/USD pair corrects further to near 1.0870 in Friday’s European session. The major currency pair weakened due to multiple headwinds: firm speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates two times more this year and a sharp recovery in the US Dollar (USD).

On Thursday, the ECB left key rates unchanged at their current levels. ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from committing to a pre-defined rate-cut path.

In Friday’s late Asian trading hours, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said in an interview on French radio BFM Business that market expectations for the ECB delivering two more rate-cuts this year, with resuming the policy-tightening campaign from the September meeting and following in December as appropriate.

Meanwhile, ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) showed on Friday that price pressures will remains close to 2.4% and will return to 2.0% in 2025 as projected by ECB Lagarde in the press conference on Thursday. The agency has cut growth target for 2025 to 0.7% from prior estimates of 0.5%.

On the other side of the Atlantic, the US Dollar bounces back strongly. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, moves higher to 104.30 from an almost four-month low of 103.70.

The US Dollar recovers amid growing speculation that Donald Trump will come out victorious in the United States (US) presidential elections later this year.

Economic Indicator

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

One of the European Central Bank's three key interest rates, the rate on the deposit facility, is the rate at which banks earn interest when they deposit funds with the ECB. It is announced by the European Central Bank at each of its eight scheduled annual meetings.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Jul 18, 2024 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: 3.75%

Consensus: 3.75%

Previous: 3.75%

Source: European Central Bank

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.0900 as USD benefits from souring mood

EUR/USD stays below 1.0900 as USD benefits from souring mood

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades below 1.0900 following Thursday's sharp decline. Dovish comments from European Central Bank officials and the risk-averse market atmosphere make it difficult for the pair to stage a rebound on Friday.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD flirts with weekly low below 1.2950 after UK Retail Sales

GBP/USD flirts with weekly low below 1.2950 after UK Retail Sales

GBP/USD trades in negative territory below 1.2950 on Friday. Disappointing Retail Sales data from the UK combined with the US Dollar (USD) recovery, fuelled by safe-haven flows, causes the pair to stay under bearish pressure ahead of the weekend.

GBP/USD News

Gold extends daily slide, trades below $2,410

Gold extends daily slide, trades below $2,410

Gold's correction from the record-high set earlier in the week deepens on Friday. With the US Dollar (USD) benefiting from safe-haven flows and the 10-year US yield holding steady above 4.2%, XAU/USD falls toward $2,400.

Gold News

Bitcoin faces resistance around the $65,000 mark

Bitcoin faces resistance around the $65,000 mark

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices encountered rejections upon reaching resistance levels near $65,000 and $3,530, respectively. Meanwhile, Ripple price might undergo a pullback towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.480.

Read more

Risk aversion takes hold as online outage hits markets

Risk aversion takes hold as online outage hits markets

 A global internet outage including banks, airports, train companies, TV stations including Sky News, stock exchanges including the LSE, Microsoft’s cloud services and cyber security services have all been hit by major online outages.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures