|

EUR/USD consolidates gains after finding support above 1.1220

  • Euro again capped by 1.1250 retreats under 1.1230. 
  • US data show a deceleration in the job market and service sector. 

The EUR/USD pair peaked earlier today 1.1254 but failed to hold on top of 1.1250 and pulled back. It continued to retreat even after disappointing US data. Recently found support at the 20-hour moving average at 1.1225 and as of writing trades at 1.1240, up 40 pips for the day. 

The greenback is falling across the board, on the back of an improvement in risk sentiment. The negative tone eased after the beginning of the US session but still remains lower. The US Dollar Index is down 0.20%, hovering around 97.00 while the Dow Jones is up 0.27%. Market’s sentiment is being supported by expectations about a US-China deal and on today’s Chinese and EZ data that helped offset concerns about a global slowdown. 

Int he US, the data came in mixed. The ADP private employment report, ahead of Friday’s NFP, showed the lowest numbers in 18 months. Service sector data confirmed a slowdown although the Markit PMI was revised higher from the preliminary reading. 

Short-term levels to watch 

To the upside, the key level is the 1.1250 area. A firm break above would likely strengthen the euro and clear the way for a test of the next resistance seen at 1.1285 (Mar 7 high), then attention would turn to 1.1300. The bullish intraday tone will remain intact as long as the euro holds on top of the 20-hour moving average currently at 1.1225. Below that level, a slide toward 1.1200 seems likely. The key support continues to be the 1.1175/80 area, a break lower could intensify the bearish outlook. 

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).