EUR/USD bulls move in on a correction of the US dollar's parabolic rally

EUR/USD bulls step in and give some much-needed stability to an otherwise sinking ship.
The US dollar has been lit up by the Fed's hawkish narrative at the end of the week.

Ross J Burland FXStreet

EUR/USD is attempting to correct from the lows of the day so far and is back to a flat position in the third hour of Tokyo's session. The single currency has travelled between a range of 1.0069 and 1.0092 so far for the final day of the week.

In Tokyo's open the greenback was lit up by news that President Xi Jinping and Russian leader Vladimir Putin are planning to attend a Group of 20 summit in the resort island of Bali later this year, according to Indonesian President Joko Widodo. This was reported by Bloomberg:

“Xi Jinping will come. President Putin has also told me he will come,” Jokowi, as the president is known, said in an interview with Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait on Thursday. It was the first time the leader of the world’s fourth-most populous nation confirmed both of them were planning to show up at the November summit.

The greenback benefitted from some initial risk-off given that this could stir up some geopolitical angst given the Ukraine crisis. For instance, the West could decide to boycott the gathering, for instance. In an interview with ZDF, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that: “We have to consider very carefully whether we paralyze the entire G20; I don’t advocate that. In my opinion, G20 is too important, also for the developing countries, the emerging countries, that we should let this body be broken by Putin.”

Meanwhile, the hawkish narrative at the Federal Reserve due to Fed speakers on Thursday had already been seeing the US dollar run higher.

A slew of Fed speakers keeps the doves grounded and dollar bears in hibernation

At the start of the North American day, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly crossed the wires and said in an interview with CNN it was way too early to declare victory on inflation and that said either a 50 basis point or a 75 basis points hike would be appropriate. Daly's comments were later accompanied by other Fed speakers who were equally if not more hawkish than she was, hammering in the nail for the euro during the session. The DXY was rising 0.12% on the day at 106.78 which has since gone parabolic to print a 107.687 in Tokyo's opening hour.

''With little sign that the US labour market or inflation are slowing sufficiently for the Fed to declare victory on inflation, we have revised up our year-end fed funds rate forecast by 25bp to 4.0%, and now expect three 50bp hikes over the remainder of 2022,'' analysts at ANZ Bank said. ''Our 2023 fed funds profile (4.0%) is intact for now, but there is upside risk. We think the Fed will remain steadfast until demand is consistent with target inflation.''

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.0084
Today Daily Change	-0.0005
Today Daily Change %	-0.05
Today daily open	1.0089

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0203
Daily SMA50	1.0286
Daily SMA100	1.0488
Daily SMA200	1.0868

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0193
Previous Daily Low	1.008
Previous Weekly High	1.0369
Previous Weekly Low	1.0159
Previous Monthly High	1.0486
Previous Monthly Low	0.9952
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0123
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.015
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0048
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0007
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.9935
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0162
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0234
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0275

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data.

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

FX alert: When Energy still writes the macro script the Dollar holds the pen

The market is quietly sliding back into the trade nobody wanted to own, but everyone now has to respect again. The no quick off-ramp trade. Yesterday’s bounce in risk assets already looks less like a turning point and more like a classic relief rally in a market that briefly inhaled before realizing the room was still on fire.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.