|

EUR/USD around 1.1630 on EMU’s CPI

  • Inflation in the euro area surprised to the downside.
  • EMU’s GDP expected to expand 2.5% YoY.
  • Spot stays in red near 1.1630.

The bearish note around the European currency remains unchanged on Tuesday and is now taking EUR/USD to the 1.1630 region in the wake of key releases in the euro area.

EUR/USD stays offered post-data

The pair remains unable to gather some traction today despite EMU’s advanced GDP figures showed the economy in the region is expected to expand at an annualized 2.5% during the July-September period and 0.6% inter-quarter, both prints surpassing prior surveys.

Still on the bright side, unemployment in the euro bloc ticked lower to 8.9% in September, bettering initial estimates.

However, critical inflation figures in the region tracked by the CPI showed headline consumer prices are seen rising at 1.4% on a year to October, while prices stripping food and energy costs are expected to rise 1.1% YoY, both prints coming in below expectations.

The pair, in the meantime, remains on the defensive for the day and keeps retracing Monday’s advance to the vicinity of 1.1660.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.16% at 1.1631 and a breakdown of 1.1575 (low Oct.27) would open the door to 1.1448 (high Jun.30) and finally 1.1254 (200-day sma). On the other hand, the next up barrier lines up at 1.1658 (high Oct.30) seconded by 1.1683 (100-day sma) and then 1.1729 (10-day sma).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data. 

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.