EUR/USD: A small chance of breaking above 1.1200 – UOB Group

Potential of the Euro (EUR) breaking above 1.1200 remains unclear, UOB Group Quek Ser Leang and Victor Yong note.

EUR may test 1.1200 near term

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we expected EUR to trade in a 1.1085/1.1145 range. In NY trade, EUR soared briefly to 1.1189, plummeted to 1.1094 and then closed largely unchanged (1.1118, +0.04%). Despite the choppy price action, the underlying tone seems to have softened somewhat. Today, we expect EUR to trade in a range, albeit a lower one of 1.1080/1.1140.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Two days ago (17 Sep, spot at 1.1125), we highlighted that EUR “is likely to continue to rise, but it is unclear at this time if it has sufficient momentum to break above the year-to-date high, near 1.1200.” Yesterday, EUR rose briefly to 1.1188, pulling back to close largely unchanged. The price action did not result in any increase in momentum, and it is still unclear for now if EUR can break above 1.1200. However, only a breach of 1.1060 (‘strong support’ level previously at 1.1040) would indicate that the potential for EUR to rise above 1.1200 has dissipated.”