|

EUR outperforming on relative risk & central bank policy – Scotiabank

Euro (EUR) is up an impressive 1.25% against. the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming all of the G10 currencies with the exception of Swiss Franc (CHF), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Momentum is extremely bullish

"The reassessment of global risks favoring flows away from the USD continues to drive the bulk of the price action, and the outlook for relative central bank policy is offering additional support in the aftermath of last week’s ECB meeting and its apparent shift toward a more neutral rate outlook. Data wise, we’re eyeing this week’s preliminary PMI’s scheduled for release on Wednesday."

"EUR/USD’s gains are impressive, given its sharp gains pushing to levels last seen in late 2021. Momentum is extremely bullish with an RSI just above 75. We see the potential for near-term resistance around 1.16 would now expect support below 1.14 (prior resistance)."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash, SPX6900, and Pudgy Penguins, are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.