|

EUR/JPY Price Prediction: November bear trend unfolds

  • EUR/JPY is declining in a short-term downtrend which started in November. 
  • The pair is likely to continue lower given technical analysis theory. 

EUR/JPY staircases down from its Halloween peak as it unfolds in a short-term downtrend during November. The odds favor an extension lower given the technical analysis theory that “the trend is your friend”. 

EUR/JPY Daily Chart 

The next downside target is at the 158.11 September 30 swing low. A break below the 159.90

low of the day would provide confirmation. Alternatively traders might look at a lower timeframe chart such as the 1-hour for a pullback – perhaps a three-wave ABC – to provide a lower risk entry-point. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is flirting with the oversold zone below 30. If it closes below 30 the pair will be considered oversold and short holders are advised not to add to their positions. 

A deeper sell-off could even take EUR/JPY down to 154.00 – 155.00 August-September lows. 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1800 after German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.1800 on Monday after the data from Germany highlighted a modest improvement in business sentiment in February. Meanwhile, the US Dollar stays under pressure amid growing unceratinty surrounding the US trade regime, allowing the pair to hold its ground.

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3550 as tariff confusion slams USD

GBP/USD extends the advance toward 1.3550 on Monday. The US Dollar faces intense selling pressure as tariff uncertainty lingers following US President Trump's latest announcement. Traders will take more cues from the broader market sentiment and central bank talks. 

Gold climbs above $5,100 on broad USD weakness

Gold sticks to its bullish bias near the monthly above $5,100 on Monday. Renewed trade-war fears, along with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, turn out to be key factors that underpin the safe-haven precious metal and validate the constructive outlook.

Cardano braces for impact as US tariff storm brews

Cardano is down 4% at press time on Monday, entering its third consecutive day of decline. Bearish bias in Cardano’s derivatives market positional buildup aligns with rising pressure on the broader cryptocurrencymarket amid US President Donald Trump's reassessment of global tariffs and domestic conflict with the US Supreme Court. 

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.