|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at 130.00, bears attack the 129.00 region

  • EUR/JPY is flat as the Asian Pacific session begins, near Wednesday’s low around the 129.20s.
  • EUR/JPY: Broke below a descending channel, accelerating the downtrend towards 129.00.
  • EUR/JPY: A break below 129.00 could pave the way for a deeper correction, firstly 128.00, followed by 126.00.

The EUR/JPY is subdued as the Asian session begins, trading flat at 129.21 during the day at the time of writing.

On Wednesday, during the overnight session, the shared currency failed to break above the 50-hour simple moving average (HSMA). It also broke below the bottom-trendline of a descending channel, accelerating the downtrend, dropping 100 pips throughout the day, reaching a low around the 129.00 flat.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart depicts that the EUR/JPY pair broke below the descending channel, which seemed to be a bullish flag. However, once the spot price broke the bottom-trendline, it negated the validity of the pattern. Additionally, it broke a four-week upward trendline, cementing the downward bias in the pair.

Further, the 50-day moving average (DMA) just crossed under the 200-DMA, forming a death-cross usually viewed as a bearish signal. 

If EUR/JPY sellers want to accelerate the downtrend, they will need to break below the October 6 low at 128.33. A breach of the latter would expose key support levels, like 128.00, followed by the February 4 low at 126.10.

On the flip side, if EUR buyers would like to reclaim control, they would need a daily close above the 100-DMA at 130.19. In that outcome, the following supply zone would be the convergence of the 50 and the 200-DMA around the 130.50-60 area.

EUR/JPY TECHNICAL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS

Overview
Today last price129.21
Today Daily Change-0.69
Today Daily Change %-0.53
Today daily open129.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA20131.57
Daily SMA50130.58
Daily SMA100130.24
Daily SMA200130.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High130.12
Previous Daily Low129.47
Previous Weekly High131.43
Previous Weekly Low130.23
Previous Monthly High133.48
Previous Monthly Low128.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%129.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%129.72
Daily Pivot Point S1129.54
Daily Pivot Point S2129.18
Daily Pivot Point S3128.89
Daily Pivot Point R1130.19
Daily Pivot Point R2130.48
Daily Pivot Point R3130.84

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends losses toward 1.1600 ahead of EU inflation data

EUR/USD extends the decline toward 1.1600 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair remains under pressure as surging energy prices amid the US-Iran war have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent. The focus is now on the Eurozone preliminary inflation reading for February. 

GBP/USD drops back toward three-month lows below 1.3350

GBP/USD is back in the red, accelerating its downside toward the three-month lows of 1.3315 in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar preserves the previous upside. 

Gold weakens below $5,300 as sustained USD buying counter Middle East tensions

Gold attracts some intraday selling and falls around $100 from the daily top, around the $5,380 area. The US Dollar climbs to a fresh high since January 20 and turns  out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the commodity. However, concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.