EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Plunges close to 300-pips and records a YTD low at 125.07


  • The EUR/JPY record weekly losses of close to 4% as traders prepare for the weekend.
  • A dismal market mood spurred by escalations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict weighed on the EUR.
  • EUR/JPY Technical Outlook: Downward biased though due to the nature of Friday’s plunge, might be subject of a mean reversion move.

EUR/JPY, deeply affected by a dismal market mood, is plunging 270-pips on Friday due to the Russian military seizure of the largest European nuclear plant in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine. At 125.36, the EUR/JPY portrays the risk-off market mood and the prevalent weakness of the shared currency across the board.

As abovementioned, the market mood remains downbeat, triggered by increasing tension between Russia-Ukraine. Global equity indices record substantial losses, while in the FX space, the JPY is alongside the pack of gainers, while the EUR is the laggard, dropping 1.42% so far in the day. Versus the Japanese yen, the shared currency depreciated 3.85% in the week.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook.

The EURJ/JPY is bullish biased, but it would be subject to a mean reversion move after Friday’s270-pip fall. The daily moving averages (DMAs) are about to roll over, from a bullish order to a bearish one, which could be achieved in the near term.

In the event of a mean reversion move, the EUR/JPY first resistance would be the bottom-trendline of a descending channel, around 126.95. Breach of the latter would expose the 38.2% Fibonacci at 128.15 resistance level, that once broken, would open the door towards the 50% Fibonacci at 129.111.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 125.36
Today Daily Change -2.36
Today Daily Change % -1.85
Today daily open 127.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 130.39
Daily SMA50 130.17
Daily SMA100 130.1
Daily SMA200 130.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 128.6
Previous Daily Low 127.58
Previous Weekly High 130.91
Previous Weekly Low 127.92
Previous Monthly High 133.15
Previous Monthly Low 127.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 127.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 128.21
Daily Pivot Point S1 127.33
Daily Pivot Point S2 126.96
Daily Pivot Point S3 126.32
Daily Pivot Point R1 128.34
Daily Pivot Point R2 128.97
Daily Pivot Point R3 129.35

 

 

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