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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls lose traction, possible market cooling may follow

  • The daily RSI for EUR/JPY reveals a possible reduction in positive market momentum, signifying diminishing buyers' influence.
  • The hourly indicators suggest a growing selling pressure.

The EUR/JPY pair is trading at 164.25 and has decreased by 0.30% in Wednesday’s session. Despite being positioned above its key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), the pair is experiencing a potential shift in momentum from bulls to bears with technical indicators losing traction.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the pair is positioned in positive territory but points down. This, coupled with the sharp decrease in the green bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), points to a possible reduction in positive market momentum. It indicates that the influence of buyers is potentially dwindling in the market. As such, the pair may start to cool off.

EUR/JPY daily chart

Zooming in, the hourly RSI value hovers mostly in the oversold region, with the latest value just above 30. Additionally, the MACD histogram on this timeframe presents rising red bars, showcasing an increase in negative momentum. This hints at a rise in sellers' dominance in the market.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

Inspecting the broader outlook, the EUR/JPY demonstrates considerably bullish signals. It stands above the 20-day, 100-day, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Such a position typically signifies a strong and resilient upward trend for both short-term and long-term scenarios. However, today's significant movements must be taken into account. Notably, the pair is challenging the 20-day SMA at the 163.72 mark. If the selling momentum grows and bears conquer the 20-day average, the pair may see further downside.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price164.25
Today Daily Change-0.51
Today Daily Change %-0.31
Today daily open164.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA20163.6
Daily SMA50162.37
Daily SMA100160.59
Daily SMA200159.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High165.18
Previous Daily Low164.54
Previous Weekly High164.92
Previous Weekly Low162.61
Previous Monthly High165.36
Previous Monthly Low160.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%164.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%164.93
Daily Pivot Point S1164.47
Daily Pivot Point S2164.18
Daily Pivot Point S3163.83
Daily Pivot Point R1165.11
Daily Pivot Point R2165.46
Daily Pivot Point R3165.75

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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