EUR/JPY Price Analysis: BoJ’s dovish remarks boost the cross above 161.00, bearish outlook remains intact


  • EUR/JPY holds positive ground near 161.10 in Wednesday’s early European session, up 2.12% on the day. 
  • The bearish picture of the cross remains intact below the 100-period EMA. 
  • The first upside barrier emerges at 162.18; the initial support level is located at 157.30. 

The EUR/JPY cross gathers strength near 161.10, snapping the seven-day losing streak during the early European session on Wednesday. Amidst the volatile session, the Japanese Yen (JPY) loses momentum after the dovish comments from the Japanese official. On Wednesday, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said that the central bank will not hike rates when markets are unstable. 

According to the 4-hour chart, the bearish outlook of EUR/JPY prevails as the cross remains below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Nonetheless, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above the midline, near 53.80, suggesting that further upside in the near term looks favorable. 

In the bullish event, the first upside target emerges near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 162.18. The next potential resistance level is located in the 162.90-163.00 zone, portraying the confluence of a psychological level and a high of August 1. Extended gains will see a rally to the 100-period EMA at 165.07. 

On the downside, the initial support level for EUR/JPY is seen at 157.30, a low of August 6. The additional downside filter to watch is the lower limit of the Bollinger Band of 156.12, followed by a low of August 5 at 154.41.  

EUR/JPY 4-hour chart

Bank of Japan FAQs

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.

The Bank of Japan has embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy since 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank’s policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds.

The Bank’s massive stimulus has caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process has exacerbated more recently due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ’s policy of holding down rates has led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen.

A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices have led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which has exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target. With wage inflation becoming a cause of concern, the BoJ looks to move away from ultra loose policy, while trying to avoid slowing the activity too much.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD climbs above 1.0500 on persistent USD weakness

EUR/USD climbs above 1.0500 on persistent USD weakness

EUR/USD preserves its bullish momentum and trades above 1.0500 on Monday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, the risk-positive market atmosphere makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to find demand and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD rises to 1.2600 area as mood improves

GBP/USD rises to 1.2600 area as mood improves

Following a short-lasting correction, GBP/USD regains its traction and trades at around 1.2600. The US Dollar struggles to stay resilient against its rivals as market mood improves on Monday, allowing the pair to build on its bullish weekly opening.

GBP/USD News
Gold turns bearish and could test $2,600

Gold turns bearish and could test $2,600

After recovering toward $2,700 during the European trading hours, Gold reversed its direction and dropped below $2,650. Despite falling US Treasury bond yields, easing geopolitical tensions don't allow XAU/USD to find a foothold. 

Gold News
Five fundamentals for the week: Fed minutes may cool Bessent boost, jobless claims, core PCE eyed

Five fundamentals for the week: Fed minutes may cool Bessent boost, jobless claims, core PCE eyed Premium

Will the rally around Scott Bessent's nomination continue? The short Thanksgiving week features a busy Wednesday packed with events, and the central bank may cool the enthusiasm.

Read more
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures