|

EUR/JPY falls to near 159.00 following robust Japan’s GDP data

  • EUR/JPY declined following the release of Japan's Gross Domestic Product report on Monday.
  • Japan's GDP rose by 0.7% QoQ in Q4, marking the third straight quarter of growth.
  • The Euro may gain if a ceasefire in Ukraine is agreed upon and gas supplies resume.

EUR/JPY gives up gains from the previous session, trading around 159.10 during the Asian hours on Monday. This decline is linked to a stronger Japanese Yen (JPY), driven by a robust Japan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report that exceeded expectations, reinforcing market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates.

Japan's economy grew by 0.7% in the fourth quarter, compared to the revised 0.4% increase in the previous quarter. This marks the third consecutive quarter of growth, fueled by a strong rebound in business investment. Yearly growth accelerated from a revised 1.7% in Q3 to 2.8%, supporting the BoJ's stance on further rate hikes amid signs of broadening inflation.

Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi remarked on Monday that Japan faces significant risks if its companies become targets due to US President Donald Trump's policies, and the government will respond cautiously to potential impacts.

The Euro could strengthen against its peers if a ceasefire in Ukraine is reached and gas supplies resume. Reports suggest that Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have agreed to start negotiations to end the conflict. BBC sources indicate that Trump administration officials are set to meet with Russian counterparts in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday to discuss a potential peace agreement.

However, any upside for the Euro may be capped as several European Central Bank (ECB) officials remain comfortable with expectations that the central bank will lower its Deposit Facility rate three more times this year. The ECB already reduced interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.75% last month.

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by Japan’s Cabinet Office on a quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in Japan during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of Japan’s economic activity. The QoQ reading compares economic activity in the reference quarter to the previous quarter. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Japanese Yen (JPY), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Sun Feb 16, 2025 23:50 (Prel)

Frequency: Quarterly

Actual: 0.7%

Consensus: 0.3%

Previous: 0.3%

Source: Japanese Cabinet Office

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks north after ECB, US inflation data

The EUR/USD pair hovered around 1.1750 but is still unable to conquer the price zone. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged, as expected, upwardly revising growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, down from the 3.1% posted in October.

GBP/USD runs beyond 1.3400 on BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 area on Thursday, following the Bank of England decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which resulted much softer than anticipated. The pair holds on to substantial gains early in the American session.

Gold nears $4,350 after first-tier events

The bright metal advances in the American session on Thursday, following European central banks announcements and the United States latest inflation update. XAU/USD approaches weekly highs in the $4,350 region.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady while XRP slides amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.