EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Bounces off multi-year lows, risk of trend reversal


  • EUR/GBP bounces off key lows and rallies strongly. 
  • Too soon to say whether the pair is reversing trend or correcting, however, upside is strong so far. 

EUR/GBP has bounced off key support (gray dashed line) at multi-year lows and risen over a percentage point to trade above 0.8400 on Thursday. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart 

The pair has risen very steeply over the last two days and this could be a sign the short-term trend is reversing and turning higher. If so the bias will be to the upside given the technical analysis principle that “the trend is your friend”. It is too early to be sure this is the case however. 

It is also possible to characterize EUR/GBP as merely correcting back and forming a common three-wave abc correction in the process. This would imply price will roll over after wave c ic completed and possibly even fall back down to the 0.8300 lows. 

The speed and strength of the rally over the last 48 hours, however, suggests EUR/GBP may not just be forming an abc correction, but that it could be completely reversing trend and turning bullish. Ultimately, evidence is required to be confident of such a reversal.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator entered the overbought zone (above 70) this period, however, we will not know whether it remains there until the current candle closes. At the moment that looks likely. 

If RSI closes above 70 then it will be a sign for long-holders not to add to their positions, since there is a material risk of the price pulling back.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains around 1.0860

EUR/USD clings to daily gains around 1.0860

The US Dollar manages to rebound from earlier lows, prompting EUR/USD to surrender part of its initial advance to the vicinity of the 1.0900 region as investors shigt their attention to the upcoming critical US labour market report on Friday.

EUR/USD News
USD/JPY maintains its offered stance in the low-152.00s

USD/JPY maintains its offered stance in the low-152.00s

USD/JPY could not sustain the earlier bull run to the 153.00 region, succumbing to the prevailing BoJ-induced appreciation of the Japanese yen and thus returning to the 152.30-152.40 band amidst lower US yields across the curve ahead of Friday's US NFP.

USD/JPY News
Gold retreated sharply, trades around $2,740

Gold retreated sharply, trades around $2,740

Prices of Gold trade markedly on the defensive on Thursday following a marginal uptick in the Greenback and declining US yields. Despite the daily pullback, the yellow metal is anticipated to remain bolstered by steady uncertainty pre-US election.

Gold News
Eurozone inflation up to 2% in October as unemployment hits new record low

Eurozone inflation up to 2% in October as unemployment hits new record low

The Eurozone’s inflation rate increased more than expected, with core inflation stable at 2.7%. The direction of incoming data in the region is not quite clear, which provides the ECB with confusing signals for the path of rate cuts.

Read more
Bank of Japan holds rates steady amid signs of modest GDP growth

Bank of Japan holds rates steady amid signs of modest GDP growth

Monthly industrial production results have been mixed but generally indicate a modest recovery in third-quarter GDP. Clear guidance from the Bank of Japan remains elusive, with each upcoming meeting being pivotal.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures