|

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Moving up to fill the “gap”

  • EUR/GBP is moving up to a gap in the price charts formed when prices were rapidly selling-off earlier in June. 
  • There is a possibility it could fill the gap if it continues higher.
  • A roughly equal risk exists that EUR/GBP resuming its prior downtrend and making new lows.

EUR/GBP has recovered after breaking out of the range that it was trading in, in late May and falling steeply. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart 

During the steep decline the pair formed a gap in price (red shaded area). There is a saying amongst traders that “gaps like to get filled” and there is a chance price could now rise up and close this gap. A break above the 0.8468 high would probably confirm a closing of the gap between 0.8472 and 0.8490. 

The direction of the short-term trend is in doubt since the recovery from the June 14 lows at 0.8397. On the one hand it could be argued that it is still bearish and prices could capitulate and fall at any moment. 

On the other hand there is the effect of the price gap which could draw prices higher. 

If EUR/GBP does roll over and resume its short-term downtrending bias, a break below 0.8397 would see the pair fall to the next downside target at 0.8340 (August 2022 low).

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).