|

EUR/GBP breaks below 0.8400 following UK Retail Sales data

  • EUR/GBP extends its decline as the Pound Sterling gains support from the BoE’s decision to maintain its interest rate.
  • UK Retail Sales rose by 1.0% MoM in August, following a prior increase of 0.5%.
  • Germany's Producer Price Index (MoM) recorded a consistent increase of 0.2% for August.

EUR/GBP continues to lose ground, trading around 0.8390 during Friday’s Asian hours, following the release of UK Retail Sales data for August. Retail Sales rose by 1.0% month-over-month, exceeding the previous increase of 0.5% and the expected rise of 0.4%. Meanwhile, the annualized rate increased to 2.5%, up from the previous 1.5% rise.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) received support from the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision to maintain its interest rate at 5% on Thursday, as widely anticipated. The BoE had previously signaled the possibility of rate cuts earlier in the summer with a quarter-point reduction at the last meeting, but this move may have been premature.

Out of the nine Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members, BoE external member Swati Dhingra voted for cutting interest rates for the second consecutive time, while the remaining members supported maintaining rates at their current levels. Investors had anticipated that two MPC members would back a dovish policy decision.

On the euro side, Germany's Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a consistent month-over-month increase of 0.2%. However, the annual PPI fell by 0.8%, against the expected 1.0% decline. Traders are likely to focus on European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde’s speech at the Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture in Washington, DC, on Friday.

European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided on the pace of policy easing due to differing views on the inflation outlook. ECB Governing Council member Peter Kazimir and Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel have expressed a desire to see more evidence that inflation will return to the levels the bank aims for, according to Reuters.

Economic Indicator

Retail Sales (MoM)

The Retail Sales data, released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the volume of sales of goods by retailers in Great Britain directly to end customers. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes in such sales, with the MoM reading comparing sales volumes in the reference month with the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Sep 20, 2024 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 1%

Consensus: 0.4%

Previous: 0.5%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds gains around 1.1800 amid renewed USD selling

EUR/USD regains positive traction and holds around 1.1800 in the European session, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The pair's uptick is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling, which remains induced by persistent trade-related uncertainties. 

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3500 on softer US Dollar

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar meets fresh supply following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address and amid looming tariff uncertainty. 

Gold eyes monthly top above $5,200 amid geopolitics, trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.