EUR: Downside comes on the back of the elections – MUFG

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

After initially dropping by two big figures in the six trading days following the announcement of snap elections in France, EUR/USD has stabilised since around the 1.0700-level but next week could be a week of renewed volatility depending on the result of the first round of elections on Sunday, Head of Research at MUFG Derek Halpenny notes.

Potential for downside move remains

“After initially dropping by two big figures in the six trading days following the announcement of snap elections in France, EUR/USD has stabilised since around the 1.0700-level but next week could be a week of renewed volatility depending on the result of the first round of elections on Sunday.”

“We initially estimated around a 1.0% risk premium was possibly priced into EUR now and based on short-term price action against variables like spreads, this remains a reasonable estimate.”

“With the Euro (EUR) risk premium relatively modest strong RN & NPF performances will likely see EUR/USD close to the 1.0500-level.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD advances above 1.1800 ahead of German inflation data

EUR/USD stretches higher above 1.1800 in the European session on Friday, helped by sustained US Dollar weakness. Attention now turns toward the release of the preliminary inflation data for February from Germany and its major states during the day.

GBP/USD struggles near 1.3500 amid UK political drama, BoE easing bias

GBP/USD struggles to build on the overnight modest bounce from the weekly low and oscillates in a narrow band near 1.3500 in European trading on Friday. The Gorton and Denton by-election, held on February 26, has become a focal point of political drama in the UK, along with the Bank of England (BoE) easing expectations, acts as a headwind for the British Pound and the GBP/USD pair.

Gold flat lines below $5,200; traders look to US PPI for fresh impetus

Gold struggles to capitalize on its modest gains registered over the past two days and trades below the $5,200 mark through the first half of the European session on Friday. Geopolitical risks remain in play amid a large US naval and air power buildup in the Middle East.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.