|

EUR/CHF Price Forecast: Correction looks close to completion, bull move to likely resume

  • EUR/CHF has unfolded a correction over the last four days. 
  • This move now looks almost complete and the bullish prior move is likely to resume. 

EUR/CHF pulls back in the middle of a recovery rally. Despite the overall bearish medium-term trend the pair is showing signs it could press higher in the short-term.

EUR/CHF Daily Chart 

EUR/CHF formed a Bullish Engulfing Japanese candlestick pattern on the day it bottomed on September 11 (shaded rectangle). This happens when price reaches a new low in a downtrend, reverses during the same day and closes higher. When the body of the recovery candle encompasses – or “engulfs” – the whole of the previous day’s body it is known in technical analysis as a Bullish Engulfing. The following day was a green up day adding confirmation to the Bullish Engulfing. The whole pattern is a short-term bullish signal. 

Not long after the recovery, the pair pulled back on September 12, however, the correction has been shallow and seems to have traced out a vague three-wave corrective pattern. This suggests the bullish rebound will probably resume. The correction also looks close to completion. 

A break above 0.9434 (September 12 high) would confirm a continuation higher, with the next target at 0.9464, followed by 0.9513 in the case of a particularly bullish move. 

A break below 0.9369 would probably invalidate the bullish hypothesis and suggest a more neutral or bearish outlook.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks to stabilize near 1.1600 as focus shifts to US data

EUR/USD is looking to stabilize near 1.1600 in the European session on Wednesday as traders breathe a sigh of relief before the top-tier US ADP jobs and ISM Services PMI data. A pause in the US Dollar uptrend helps the pair's recovery, but surging energy prices due to the Iran war will likely remain a drag. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 as USD preserves gains

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. Escalating conflict in the Middle East keeps the "flight to safety" theme intact, supporting the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Traders will take more cues from the US ADP Employment and ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index reports, which are due later on Wednesday. 

Gold sticks to intraday gains above $5,150; upside seems limited amid bullish USD

Gold preserves its modest intraday gains through the Asian session on Wednesday and currently trades just above the $5,150 level, up around 1.30% for the day. Investors remain concerned about a prolonged conflict in the Middle East and its impact on the global economy amid an already uncertain environment. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple struggle for direction as consolidation persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple prices trade with a cautious tone at the time of writing on Wednesday as upside momentum continues to fade across the broader crypto market. BTC remains within a parallel channel, ETH struggles below key resistance, while XRP remains fragile within a descending channel. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization continue to struggle to establish a directional bias amid the consolidation phase.

When rates start driving the bus through a war zone

The volatility regime itself is also changing character. EM carry trades thrive in calm markets. They suffocate in environments that resemble Buckaroo Banzai trading conditions, where headlines move faster than models. That is exactly the world investors are now trying to recalibrate to. Euro rate volatility had been remarkably subdued even while equities were wobbling. That stability is now being questioned, and once volatility leaks into rates it rarely stays contained. Indeed, carry trades love calm seas. War turns the ocean into white water.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidation near resistance as ETF inflows offer mild support

Solana price is facing slight rejection as it approaches the upper boundary of the consolidation range at around $88 on Wednesday. Institutional demand is strengthening as spot Exchange Traded Funds recorded two consecutive inflows so far this week.