Coinbase Global Stock Forecast: COIN skyrockets on Friday after returning to profitability


  • Coinbase traded up as much as 13% on Friday following earnings.
  • Q4 2023 gave Coinbase its first profitable quarter in nearly two years.
  • Coinbase earned $1.04 per share on a GAAP basis in Q4.
  • Q1 2024 received an upward revision in expected revenue from management.

Coinbase Global (COIN) stock soared as much as 13% on Friday following the market’s broad recognition of its fourth-quarter earnings success before closing up 8.8% at $180.29. The US crypto platform is sort of a “last man standing” after FTX and Binance were both leveled in the past 18 months by legal charges.

Coinbase stock’s end of the week rally arrived in a down session after the US Producer Price Index showed that inflation remained afoot in January. The market read that report as yet another sign that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would delay interest rate cuts.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones both slumped by slightly less than half a percentage point, while the NASDAQ toppled by 0.8%. 

Coinbase stock news

Profitability was the great surprise from the earnings call, though maybe it shouldn’t have been since CEO Brian Armstrong has spent the past two years trimming his workforce. Coinbase earned $1.04 in GAAP EPS during the fourth quarter despite Wall Street consensus estimating the company would barely make a profit. This came after seven consecutive quarters of GAAP losses.

“I'm proud to say that in 2023, we cut costs by 45% YoY and managed to ship product faster with a lean team,” said CEO Brian Armstrong. “This led to $95 million of positive net income for 2023, $964 million in positive adjusted EBITDA and total revenue of $3.1 billion.”

For the fourth quarter, specifically, Coinbase saw revenue grow 52% from a year ago to $954 million. This figure bested the quarter’s consensus by $135 million.

In regard to the current quarter, Armstrong touted Coinbase being selected as custodian by eight of 11 of the spot Bitcoin ETFs that were approved in January. He also lauded the company’s strides in the crypto derivatives market. 

Management said that subscription and services revenue in the first quarter will post somewhere between $410 million and $480 million. The midpoint of that range is about $60 million above consensus, which excited traders.

 

Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins FAQs

What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a virtual currency designed to serve as money. This form of payment cannot be controlled by any one person, group, or entity, which eliminates the need for third-party participation during financial transactions.

What are altcoins?

Altcoins are any cryptocurrency apart from Bitcoin, but some also regard Ethereum as a non-altcoin because it is from these two cryptocurrencies that forking happens. If this is true, then Litecoin is the first altcoin, forked from the Bitcoin protocol and, therefore, an “improved” version of it.

What are stablecoins?

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable price, with their value backed by a reserve of the asset it represents. To achieve this, the value of any one stablecoin is pegged to a commodity or financial instrument, such as the US Dollar (USD), with its supply regulated by an algorithm or demand. The main goal of stablecoins is to provide an on/off-ramp for investors willing to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins also allow investors to store value since cryptocurrencies, in general, are subject to volatility.

What is Bitcoin Dominance?

Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of Bitcoin's market capitalization to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. It provides a clear picture of Bitcoin’s interest among investors. A high BTC dominance typically happens before and during a bull run, in which investors resort to investing in relatively stable and high market capitalization cryptocurrency like Bitcoin. A drop in BTC dominance usually means that investors are moving their capital and/or profits to altcoins in a quest for higher returns, which usually triggers an explosion of altcoin rallies.

Coinbase stock forecast

Coinbase stock overcame the prior resistance mark from the range high near $187 in Decemer 2023, two months ago. On Friday, COIN stock reached an intraday high of $193.64. This was the highest level that COIN stock has traded at since late March of 2022, nearly two years ago.

The bad sign for traders is that the daily candlestick was a long red one. This is because COIN stock reached its intraday high early in the session and then sold off from there. To ensure that a drawdown doesn't ensue, bulls need to push Coinbase stock back above the former resistance at $187.

COIN daily stock chart

The weekly chart below shows that Coinbase stock is already overbought as it has reached the significant 70 level on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This is another check in the column for cons and may persuade certain bulls to wait for a lower-priced entry.

The wide blue channel shows the high volume range between $160 and $217 wherein COIN saw heavy rotation from January through April of 2022. The $206 level at that time showed particular resistance during that trading era. 

COIN weekly stock chart

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Not out of the woods yet

AUD/USD: Not out of the woods yet

The continuation of the selling pressure around the US Dollar lent extra wings to AUD/USD and propelled it back above the 0.6500 barrier ahead of the publication of the RBA Minutes of its November 5 event.

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD: The extension and duration of the rebound remain to be seen

EUR/USD: The extension and duration of the rebound remain to be seen

EUR/USD regained further balance and trespassed the key 1.0600 hurdle to clock three-day highs following extra weakness in the Greenback and some loss of momentum around the Trump rally.

EUR/USD News
Gold gives signs of life and reclaims $2,600/oz

Gold gives signs of life and reclaims $2,600/oz

After suffering large losses in the previous week, Gold gathers recovery momentum and trades in positive territory above $2,600 on Monday. In the absence of high-tier data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions help XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks decline to $2,258 as exchange reserves continue uptrend

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks decline to $2,258 as exchange reserves continue uptrend

Ethereum (ETH) is up 1% on Monday after ETH ETFs hit a record $515.5 million inflows last week. However, rising exchange reserves and realized losses could trigger bearish pressure for the top altcoin.

Read more
The week ahead: Powell stumps the US stock rally as Bitcoin surges, as we wait Nvidia earnings, UK CPI

The week ahead: Powell stumps the US stock rally as Bitcoin surges, as we wait Nvidia earnings, UK CPI

The mood music is shifting for the Trump trade. Stocks fell sharply at the end of last week, led by big tech. The S&P 500 was down by more than 2% last week, its weakest performance in 2 months, while the Nasdaq was lower by 3%. The market has now given back half of the post-Trump election win gains.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures