Cisco Systems trade idea: How to play the short term trend accelerating higher

Strongest trend higher

Using the VolatilityMarkets software to structure a Cisco Systems trend following trade idea.

Part 1) Introduction

VolatilityMarkets suggests trend-inspired trades that capitalize on market trends.

In the short term Cisco Systems has been accelerating higher. In the long term Cisco Systems has been decelerating higher. With the short term trend being the stronger of the two, we propose a long trade idea with a one week time horizon.

Part 2) Trade idea details

Buy $ 43,109 USD of Cisco Systems, take profit at $ 49.702 level with 25.0% odds for a $ 1,724 USD gain, stop out at $ 46.6814 with 50.0% odds for a $ 1,000 USD loss through 1w time horizon

Part 3) CSCO trend analysis

CSCO last price was $ 47.79. The short term trend accelerating higher is stronger than the long term trend decelerating higher. This trade goes long when the last change was higher and accelerating .

See Details ...

Part 4) CSCO value analysis

Over the past 21 days, the CSCO price increased 12 days and decreased 9 days. For every up day, there were 0.75 down days. The average return on days where the price increased is 1.697% The average return on days where the price decreased is -0.7547% Over the past 21 Days, the price has increased by 14.19% percent. Over the past 21 days, the average return per day has been 0.6757% percent.

Part 5) CSCO worst/best case scenario analysis

Within 1 week, our worst case scenario where we are 95% certain that this level won't trade for CSCO, is $ 44.4758 , and the best case scenario overnight is $ 51.1042 . levels outside of this range are unlikely, but still possible, to trade. We are 50% confident that $ 46.6814 could trade and that $ 49.702 could trade. These levels are within statistical probability.

Key takeaways

• Price today $ 47.79.

• Over the past 21 days, the CSCO price increased 12 days and decreased 9 Days.

• For every up day, there were 0.75 down days.

• The average return on days where the price increased is 1.697%.

• The average return on days where the price decreased is -0.7547%.

• Over the past 21 Days, the price has increased by 14.19% percent.

• Over the past 21 days, the average return per day has been 0.6757% percent.

• Over the past 21 days, The price has on average been decelerating: $ -0.0192 per day higher.

• Over the last session, the price increased by $ 0.88.

• Over the last session, the price increased by 1.8414 %.

• Over the last session, the price accelerated by $ 0.158.