The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) numbers released this morning show that Chinese monthly primary aluminum production rose 3.6% YoY to reach a record of 3.7mt in November as rising overseas export demand helped the metal output stay elevated. Cumulatively, output rose 4.6% YoY to 40.2mt over the first 11 months of the year, ING’s commodity analyst Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Aluminum production in China is record high
“According to media reports, Japanese aluminum buyers were offered a premium of US$228/t (the highest premium since 2015) for the first quarter of 2025, up from US$175/t (+30% quarter-on-quarter) this quarter. However, it is slightly lower than the initial offers of US$230-260/t. The increase in premiums reflects expectations of tighter supply in Asia after China cancelled a 13% tax rebate on aluminum products from 1 December 2024.”
“In mine supply, Peru’s latest official numbers showed that copper output in the country fell 1.3% YoY to 237kt in October. It is reported that cumulative output loses from mines like Cerro Verde, and Quellaveco’s primarily contributed to Peru’s overall production decline in October. Cumulatively, production declined 0.7% YoY to 2.23mt for the first 10 months of the year.”
“Meanwhile, weekly data from Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) shows that inventories for base metals remained mixed over the last week. Aluminum weekly stocks fell by 9,875 tons for a seventh consecutive week to 214,501 tons as of last Friday, the lowest since 10 May 2024. Copper inventories decreased by 13,199 tons (-13.5% week-on-week) for the eighth week straight to 84,557 tons (the lowest since 2 February 2024), while zinc inventories declined by 2,317 tons (-4.4% WoW) for a fourth consecutive week to 50,666 tons (the lowest since 9 February 2024) at the end of last week.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends slump below 1.0500 after US PMI data
EUR/USD is under renewed selling pressure below the 1.0500 mark. EU PMI data came in better than expected but still indicate contraction in the Union. United States PMIs show a steeper contraction in the manufacturing sector yet upbeat services output in December.
Gold clings to mild gains above $2,650 as markets gear up for Fed
Gold opens the week on a moderately positive tone and trades above $2,650, favored by a mild US Dollar (USD) reversal amid lower US Treasury yields. The precious metal, however, is still close to recent lows following a 2.5% sell-off late last week.
Bitcoin rises to new all-time of $106,600, then corrects as markets focus on Fed
Bitcoin price retreats on Monday after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $106,648 in the early Asian session. The main factor impacting BTC price this week is likely to be the decision of the US Fed on interest rates on Wednesday.
Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year Premium
Christmas is coming – but there's a high likelihood of wild price action before the holiday season begins. Central banks take center stage, and there is enough data to keep traders busy outside these critical decisions.
Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year Premium
Christmas is coming – but there's a high likelihood of wild price action before the holiday season begins. Central banks take center stage, and there is enough data to keep traders busy outside these critical decisions.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.