|

CAD gives up mild gain led by steady BoC – Scotiabank

The Bank of Canada leaving policy on hold on Wednesday provided a minor boost for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) but the pair has nudged a little higher again this morning, reflecting minor gains in the US Dollar (USD), leaving funds trading more or less bang on our fair value estimate (1.3881), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Trend momentum still leans USD-bearish

"Some short-covering demand may give the USD a mild lift in the short run as markets square up positioning into the long weekend."

"The risk of further BoC policy easing steps is unlikely to recede too far in the coming months but policymakers will need more clarity on the tariff regime facing Canada before acting. Ontario is introducing legislation that will remove provincial trade barriers (so long as other jurisdictions reciprocate). Never let a good crisis go to waste."

"Mild gains for the USD today following a drop in spot yesterday keep the short-term technical picture somewhat neutral for spot. Broader patterns and trend momentum still lean USD-bearish and will keep the lid on any USD gains (to the 1.4000/25 area at most). Support is 1.3825/50."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash, SPX6900, and Pudgy Penguins, are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.