BoJ’s Ueda: Uncertainties surrounding Japan's economy, prices remain high

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Thursday that the central bank will keep adjusting the degree of easing if the economic and price outlook is to be realized. Ueda further stated that he will monitor financial and foreign exchange markets, and their impact on the economy and prices.

Key quotes

Japan's economy is recovering moderately, although some weak moves are seen.

Uncertainties surrounding Japan's economy, and prices remain high.

Must pay due attention to financial, FX markets, impact on japan's economy, prices.

FX impact on prices has become larger than in past, as firms are more eager to wage, price hikes.

Will keep adjusting degree of easing if our economic, price outlook is to be realized.

Need to closely watch impact of overseas economies, including u.s. economy, on japan's economic activities, prices.

To publicise findings of long-term policy review after december meeting.

Market reaction to the BoJ’s Ueda speech

At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading 0.35% lower on the day to trade at 152.88.

Bank of Japan FAQs

What is the Bank of Japan?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.

What has been the Bank of Japan’s policy?

The Bank of Japan embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy in 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank’s policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds. In March 2024, the BoJ lifted interest rates, effectively retreating from the ultra-loose monetary policy stance.

How do Bank of Japan’s decisions influence the Japanese Yen?

The Bank’s massive stimulus caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process exacerbated in 2022 and 2023 due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ’s policy led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen. This trend partly reversed in 2024, when the BoJ decided to abandon its ultra-loose policy stance.

Why did the Bank of Japan decide to start unwinding its ultra-loose policy?

A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target. The prospect of rising salaries in the country – a key element fuelling inflation – also contributed to the move.

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