Aussie should benefit again as soon as the recession in the US becomes more apparent – Commerzbank


Recently, the Aussie suffered heavily from the general Dollar strength. Economists at Commerzbank discuss AUD/USD outlook ahead of the Australian labour market figures for August.

A labour market report in line with expectations should further embolden the RBA

A labour market report in line with expectations should further embolden the RBA. After all, it had previously stressed that while it was bringing inflation back towards its target, it was also keeping an eye on the historically tight labour market. 

If inflation also continues to fall towards its target - the next release of the monthly index is scheduled for the end of September – there is much evidence to suggest that the RBA has done a lot of things right with its interest rate pause. 

As soon as the recession in the US becomes more apparent, as our economists expect, the Aussie should therefore also benefit again.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD climbs back above 1.0750 ahead of ADP, Fed Minutes

EUR/USD climbs back above 1.0750 ahead of ADP, Fed Minutes

EUR/USD has regained lost ground above 1.0750 in the European session on Wednesday. The pair draws support from the renewed US Dollar weakness, in the aftermath of the dovish Fed Chair Powell's comments. Eyes turn to US ADP data, Fed Minutes. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retakes 1.2700, looks to US data/Fed minutes

GBP/USD retakes 1.2700, looks to US data/Fed minutes

GBP/USD is battling 1.2700 in European trading on Wednesday, attempting a modest bounce. Traders appear reluctant and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC minutes while the UK elections on Thursday also keep them on the edge. US ADP data eyed as well. 

GBP/USD News

Gold jumps toward $2,350, with eyes on key US events

Gold jumps toward $2,350, with eyes on key US events

Gold price is closing in on $2,350 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, staging a rebound amid a fresh leg down in the US Dollar. Gold price capitalizes on dovish Fed Chair Powell's remarks on Tuesday, which added to the September rate cut expectations. US ADP data and Fed Minutes on tap. 

Gold News

Bitcoin price struggles around $61,000 as German government transfers, miners activity weigh

Bitcoin price struggles around $61,000 as German government transfers, miners activity weigh

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs registered slight outflows on Tuesday. The German Government transferred another 832.7 BTC, valued at $52 million, on Tuesday.

Read more

ADP Employment Change Preview: US private sector expected to add 160K new jobs in June

ADP Employment Change Preview: US private sector expected to add 160K new jobs in June

The United States ADP Research Institute will release its monthly report on private sector job creation for June. The announcement is expected to show that the country’s private sector added 160K new positions in June after adding 152K in May.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures