|

AUD/USD tumbles to 2-1/2 year low, inching closer to 0.71 handle

   •  Growing US-China trade tensions prompts some fresh selling on Friday.
   •  Upbeat NFP lifts USD and further accelerates the downward momentum.

   •  Highly oversold conditions do little to stall the ongoing bearish slide.

The AUD/USD pair remained heavily offered through the early North-American session and dropped to 30-month lows post-NFP, albeit recovered few pips thereafter.

Anxiousness over the new US tariffs on around $200 billion worth of Chinese imports, expected to be announced as early as today, was seen as one of the key factors exerting some fresh downward pressure on the China-proxy Australian Dollar. 

The downward pressure aggravated further after the latest US monthly jobs report showed that the US economy added 201K new jobs in August, much better than a downwardly revised figure of 147K in July and also better than consensus estimates pointing to a reading of 191K.

Adding to this, average hourly earnings recorded a strong m/m growth of 0.4%, lifting the yearly rate to 2.9% as compared to 2.7% anticipated, and largely offset a slight disappointment from the unemployment rate, which held stable at 3.9% as against market expectations for a downtick to 3.8%.

Apart from upbeat monthly employment details, the prevalent risk-off mood was further seen benefitting the US Dollar's safe-haven status, against the perceived riskier currencies - like the Aussie, and further collaborated to the pair's decline to its lowest level since early-March 2016.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is able to find any support at lower levels or continues with its well-established bearish trend, amid mounting global trade war fears and despite near-term oversold conditions.

Technical levels to watch

A follow-through selling has the potential to continue dragging the pair further towards the 0.7110-0.7100 region, which if broken is likely to accelerate the downfall towards 0.7070 support zone.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt might now confront fresh supply near the 0.7170-75 region and is closely followed by the 0.7200 handle and the 0.7215-20 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated. 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold consolidates the rebound below $5,000, US data eyed

Gold price consolidates the previous rebound below $5,000 in the Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovered on Wednesday amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims,  Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday. 

Bitcoin approaches a critical zone: Bear pennant projects $56,000

Based on the most recent analyses from February 2026, the short answer is that it is highly unlikely that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this month.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.