|

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Flirting with 38.2% Fib support

  • AUD/USD is flirting with key Fibonacci support for the third straight day.
  • A minor bounce to 0.6960 could be in the offing. 

AUD/USD is defending key support for the third day and may witness a minor corrective bounce with signs of risk reset in the financial markets. 

The currency pair is currently trading at 0.6932, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the rally from the Nov. 29 low and Jan. 1 high. 

The sellers failed to secure a daily close below the Fibonacci support on Friday and Monday. 

The pair may bounce to 0.6960 if the Fibonacci support holds ground for the third straight day - more so, as the US stocks eked out moderate gains on Monday, shrugging off the escalating tensions in the Middle East. 

A break above 0.6960 would confirm an end of the pullback and will likely fuel rise to a recent rise above 0.7040. 

On the downside, a daily close below 0.6932 would bolster the short-term bearish case. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish below 0.6932

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6938
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open0.694
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6923
Daily SMA500.687
Daily SMA1000.6829
Daily SMA2000.6898
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6959
Previous Daily Low0.6924
Previous Weekly High0.7043
Previous Weekly Low0.693
Previous Monthly High0.7033
Previous Monthly Low0.6762
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6946
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6938
Daily Pivot Point S10.6924
Daily Pivot Point S20.6907
Daily Pivot Point S30.6889
Daily Pivot Point R10.6958
Daily Pivot Point R20.6976
Daily Pivot Point R30.6993

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.